Home / Awards / Gold Rush Gang: FINAL Oscar Predictions

Gold Rush Gang: FINAL Oscar Predictions

86thOscarslogo

The time has come, for you to lip sy…wait, wrong show. This is it, the final stretch before the Oscars on Sunday and with it the FINAL winner predictions from the Gold Rush Gang. What a tumultuous season it’s been. While most of our pundints agree that 12 Years a Slave will prevail in Best Picture as it did with BFCA, Golden Globes and BAFTA. But it’s not without a bit of reservation as those Best Picture wins seemed narrowly out of grasp each time as the film saw defeat in so many categories leading up to the big one. It appears that will likely happen again as only Adapted Screenplay and Supporting Actress appear to be the film’s only other real chances. And with this year, even those categories are volatile, especially Supporting Actress.

Rarely has an acting category been this close as it is between 12YAS‘s Lupita Nyong’o (coming in with BFCA and SAG wins) and American Hustle‘s Jennifer Lawrence (with the Golden Globe and BAFTA). Each have things for and against a potential win; Nyong’o has been everywhere, on every red carpet, looking amazing and giving fantastic speeches. Lawrence, having just won Lead Actress last year, has been almost nowhere. While she was finishing up filming right in the middle of the prime Oscar campaigning it almost feels as if she’s purposely not campaigning, as if it would appear in poor taste since her win is so fresh. Her nomination this year put her in the record books and a win would as well. Thank goodness it comes so early in the show, as it could telegraph a lot for us viewers.

In the screenplay categories, 12 Years a Slave should be able to win Adapted but it even lost the BAFTA to Philomena so that’s not for sure. In Original the race is between American Hustle and Her and it’s going to be a nail-biter. If Lawrence loses Supporting Actress this might be the only place to reward the film and Russell has to have a tremendous amount of actor support, having directed a history-making 11 acting nominations (and three wins) with his last three films. A good stat to keep in mind is that no film has won the SAG ensemble award and missed out on a top 8 category Oscar in 16 years (The Full Monty was the last).

On the tech side, Gravity appears to be able to dominate most categories handily, although it could face some competition from Captain Phillips in Film Editing (where it lost the ACE Eddie to CP) and in the Sound categories as well. But Director, Cinematography and Visual Effects are as locked as you can get this year.

Frozen should nab both of its nominations, in Animated Feature and Original Song, but don’t be too surprised if Grammy winner Pharrell Williams’ current Billboard Hot 100 hit “Happy” snatches it away. In Foreign Language Film, thanks to the expansion of voting to the academy at large, Italy’s The Great Beauty seems to stand the best chance. Same goes for 20 Feet From Stardom in Documentary Feature. A popular hit and now voted on by the entire academy.

You can also listen to the most recent podcast where we discuss the predictions in full.

12 Years a Slave
12 Years a Slave

BEST PICTURE
Gravity – Long, Michael
12 Years a Slave – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Peter, Richard

Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

BEST DIRECTOR
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Michael, Peter, Richard

Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street – Cédric
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club – Erik, Ben, Beth, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Michael, Peter, Richard

Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Michael, Richard, Peter

jaredletodallas150
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle – Erik, Kenneth, Richard
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave – Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Long, Peter

12 Years a Slave
12 Years a Slave

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
12 Years a Slave – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

American Hustle
American Hustle

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
American Hustle – Erik, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Richard
Her – Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Peter

Gravity
Gravity

BEST FILM EDITING
Captain Phillips – Beth, Dennis, Michael
Gravity – Erik, Ben, Cédric, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Peter, Richard

Gravity
Gravity

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Gravity – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

The Great Gatsby
The Great Gatsby

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Great Gatsby – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

The Great Gatsby
The Great Gatsby

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
The Great Gatsby – Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard
12 Years a Slave – Erik

Dallas Buyers Club
Dallas Buyers Club

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Dallas Buyers Club – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa – Dennis

Frozen
Frozen

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Frozen – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

The Great Beauty, Italy
The Great Beauty, Italy

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
The Great Beauty – Erik, Ben, Cédric, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard
The Hunt – Dennis, Evan
Omar – Beth

20 Feet From Stardom
20 Feet From Stardom

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
The Act of Killing – Ben
20 Feet From Stardom – Erik, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

Gravity
Gravity

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Gravity – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

Frozen
Frozen

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Let It Go,” Frozen – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

Gravity
Gravity

BEST SOUND MIXING
Gravity – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

Gravity
Gravity

BEST SOUND EDITING
Gravity – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

Gravity
Gravity

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Gravity – Erik, Ben, Beth, Cédric, Dennis, Evan, Kenneth, Long, Michael, Peter, Richard

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.