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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (April)

Top: Kathryn Bigelow, Alexander Payne Bottom: Steven Spielberg, Todd Haynes, Joe Wright
Top: Kathryn Bigelow, Alexander Payne
Bottom: Steven Spielberg, Todd Haynes, Joe Wright

Kathryn Bigelow remains at #1 with her still Untitled Detroit Riots Project but her competitors are starting to chip away at that lead. Strong word of mouth from the 10-minute clips shown at CinemaCon keeps Alexander Payne (Downsizing) at #2 and Todd Haynes (Wonderstruck) at #3.

The big debut entry this month is two-time Best Director Oscar winner Steven Spielberg for The Post. In the month since March predictions, he dropped production of The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara to fast-track the Pentagon Papers film that is set to star Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks. This bumps the never-nominated Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) out of the top five.

LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world

Despite the assurance that Paul Thomas Anderson’s fashion project with Daniel Day-Lewis will be a Christmas Day release, PTA’s stock plummets all the way down to #15. On the flip side, Call Me By Your Name‘s Luca Gaudagnino jumps up from the bottom to land at #8 this month.

Piqued interest in Darron Aronofsky’s very secretive mother! starring Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Pfeiffer moves him up a bit, to #11.

George Clooney enters the list at #13 this month with Suburbicon. He joins Richard Linklater (Last Flag Flying, #15) as the other newcomers.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

MARCH Best Director Predictions

Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

BEST DIRECTOR
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Kathryn Bigelow – The Untitled Detroit Riots Project 1 3 1 1 8 2 1 2 1 1 89
2 Alexander Payne – Downsizing 3 1 8 3 1 4 2 3 2 3 80
3 Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck 2 2 4 4 2 1 3 8 5 2 77
4 Steven Spielberg – The Post 4 5 3 2 9 3 4 1 3 5 71
5 Joe Wright – Darkest Hour 6 2 7 5 5 5 5 4 6 54
6 Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk 10 4 5 5 3 8 6 7 10 4 48
7 Andrew Haigh – Lean on Pete 8 6 10 10 6 9 4 6 8 32
8 Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name 7 4 6 7 20
9 Dee Rees – Mudbound 7 7 9 7 7 18
10 Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 9 8 9 7 7 9 17
11 Darren Aronofsky – mother! 10 6 8 10 8 10 14
12 Michael Haneke – Happy End 9 6 9 9
13 George Clooney – Suburbicon 5 10 7
13 Dan Gilroy – Inner City (possibly 2018) 6 9 7
15 Paul Thomas Anderson – Untitled Fashion Project 8 10 4
15 Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying 9 9 4
OTHER CONTENDERS
Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game
Alfonso Gómez-Rejón – The Current War
David Gordon Green – Stronger
Garth Davis – Mary Magdalene
Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Martin McDonaugh – Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Reginald Hudlin – Marshall
Sebastián Lelio – Disobedience
Stephen Frears – Victoria and Abdul
Woody Allen – Wonder Wheel

 

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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