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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (May) – Oldman Still Tops; Gleeson, Sandler and Plummer Debut

Gary Oldman is still smoking the competition but May sees debuts from Domhnall Gleeson, Adam Sandler and Charlie Plummer
Gary Oldman is still smoking the competition but May sees debuts from Domhnall Gleeson, Adam Sandler and Charlie Plummer

Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) remains atop our Best Actor predictions for a third month in a row and still with a perfect score of 100. Daniel Day-Lewis (Paul Thomas Anderson’s Untitled Fashion Project) also holds onto his spot, #2, and amazingly with the same point total as last month, 73.

Tom Hanks (Steven Spielberg’s Untitled Pentagon Papers Project) inches up one to land the #3 spot and Denzel Washington (Inner City) and Andrew Garfield (Breathe) make big moves into the top 5 for the first time. Washington, whose film just started shooting a few weeks ago, lands at #4 with just over half of the Gold Rush Gang sending votes his way on the thought that the film will be a 2017 release. The moment that’s official you can expect the rest to follow. Garfield, who became a first time Oscar nominee this year (for Hacksaw Ridge) is looking for an afterglow nomination in yet another biopic, this time as a man paralyzed by polio. It’s almost like he’s got Eddie Redmayne on speed dial in terms of finding ‘Oscar bait’ material.

Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) stays put at the kids table, just a few points out at #6. The 20-year old is going to have a hard time breaking into that top 5 unless his film becomes a top 5 contender itself (as some of the GRG think it will be). Bryan Cranston (Last Flag Flying), Chadwick Boseman (Marshall) and Benedict Cumberbatch (The Current War) make incremental steps up but for Cumberbatch, his film is out our BP predictions right now so that may be short lived.

The two big drops this month are Matt Damon (Downsizing) and Donald Sutherland (The Leisure Seeker). Sutherland is still searching for his first Oscar nomination and although The Leisure Seeker could be his ticket it’s getting further away by the month, especially since Sony Pictures Classics also has CMBYN.

Three debuts hit this month; Domhnall Gleeson in Goodbye Christopher Robin, Adam Sandler in the Cannes-bound The Meyerowitz Stories and Charlie Plummer in Lean on Pete. Plummer just landed the prime role in Ridley Scott’s film about the 1970s Getty kidnapping plot.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actor for May from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

BEST ACTOR
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
2 Daniel Day-Lewis – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project 2 2 2 2 2 7 4 2 3 73
3 Tom Hanks – Untitled Steven Spielberg Pentagon Papers Project 3 7 5 3 7 3 3 3 3 7 66
4 Denzel Washington – Inner City (possibly 2018) 3 3 2 2 4 2 50
5 Andrew Garfield – Breathe 6 6 5 5 5 5 7 6 5 49
6 Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name 7 4 10 7 2 8 6 8 5 6 47
7 Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying 5 6 4 6 4 6 7 4 46
8 Chadwick Boseman – Marshall 4 4 4 4 10 10 10 31
9 Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 10 6 10 6 9 8 5 8 26
10 Matt Damon – Downsizing 8 8 7 8 13
11 Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman 9 9 9 9 10 10 9 12
12 Ben Stiller – Brad’s Status 8 8 9 9 10
13 Donald Sutherland – The Leisure Seeker 7 9 6
13 Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger 5 6
15 Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin 8 3
16 Adam Sandler, The Meyerowitz Stories 9 2
16 Charlie Plummer – Lean on Pete 10 10 2
OTHER CONTENDERS
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Andrew Garfield – Under the Silver Lake
Anthony Mackie – Unititled Kathryn Bigelow Detriot Riots Project
Ben Foster – Galveston
Benicio Del Toro – Soldado
Billy Howle – On Chesil Beach
Bryan Cranston – Untouchable
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Come Sunday
Christian Bale – Hostiles
Clive Owen – Andorra
Colin Farrell – The Beguiled
Colin Farrell – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Daniel Craig – Kings
Demetrius Shipp, Jr. – All Eyez On Me
Fionn Whitehead – Dunkirk
Idris Elba – The Mountain Between Us
Jack O’Connell – Untitled Alexander McQueen biopic (likely 2018)
James McAvoy – Submergence
Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Jason Clarke – Chappaquiddick
Jason Clarke – The Aftermath
Jason Clarke – The Man with the Iron Heart
Javier Bardem – Escobar
Javier Bardem – mother!
Jean-Louis Trintignant – Happy End
Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife
Kenneth Branagh – Murder on the Orient Express
Liam Neeson – Felt
Matt Damon – Suburbicon
Michael Douglas – Head Full of Honey
Michael Fassbender – The Snowman
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Oscar Isaac – Life Itself
Ryan Gosling – Blade Runner 2049
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Tom Hardy – Fonzo

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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