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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (June) – Timothée Chalamet Hits the top 5; Cannes winner Joaquin Phoenix Debuts

Unsurprisingly, Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) remains atop the list with a perfect score of 100, just as he did last month, something I don’t expect to change for a long time, if ever. Daniel Day-Lewis is still strong at #2 for Paul Thomas Anderson’s fashion project which now has a name – Phantom Thread. Tom Hanks holds on at #3 for Steven Spielberg’s Pentagon Papers Project, which is at #1 in Best Picture and Best Director this month.

Andrew Garfield (Breathe) moves up one to #4 where he is tied with 21-year old Timothée Chalamet (Call My By Your Name). This is Chalamet’s highest ranking so far this year and it boots two-time Oscar winner Denzel Washington (Inner City) out of the top 5. As you’ll see from Washington’s line, he only has votes from 6 out of 10 Gold Rush Gang members as some of us are holding back on votes until confirmation comes down that his film is coming out in 2017. Looking at this year’s crop of likely Best Actor contenders, it would be smart for Sony to make sure it does as there is a shocking lack of diversity in these choices. The only other non-white actor to receive votes again this month is Chadwick Boseman (Marshall) and digging into the Other Contenders list offers very little hope.

We only have one debut this month, newly crowned Cannes Best Actor winner for You Were Never Really Here at #11. Lots of drop-offs though, including Adam Sandler (The Meyerowitz Stories), Matt Damon (Downsizing) and Domhnall Gleeson (Goodbye Christopher Robin). Sandler and Gleeson debuted on the list last month. The only debut from last month to make the cut this month is Charlie Plummer (Lean on Pete).

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actor for June from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

BEST ACTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
2 Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread 2 2 2 2 2 7 3 2 3 74
3 Tom Hanks – Untitled Steven Spielberg Pentagon Papers Project 3 7 5 3 7 3 4 4 3 5 66
4 Andrew Garfield – Breathe 6 5 9 6 5 4 5 7 6 6 51
4 Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name 5 4 8 4 2 8 6 8 7 7 51
6 Denzel Washington – Inner City (possibly 2018) 3 4 2 2 4 2 49
7 Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying 6 7 3 7 3 6 8 4 44
8 Chadwick Boseman – Marshall 4 4 5 5 9 9 30
9 Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 10 10 6 10 6 10 8 5 10 10 25
10 Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman 9 9 9 9 9 10 5 17
11 Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here 8 8 8 6 14
12 Ben Stiller – Brad’s Status 8 10 8 7
13 Donald Sutherland – The Leisure Seeker 7 9 6
13 Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger 7 9 6
15 Charlie Plummer – Lean on Pete 9 10 3
OTHER CONTENDERS
Adam Sandler – The Meyerowitz Stories
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Andrew Garfield – Under the Silver Lake
Anthony Mackie – Detroit
Ben Foster – Galveston
Benicio Del Toro – Soldado
Billy Howle – On Chesil Beach
Bryan Cranston – Untouchable
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Come Sunday
Christian Bale – Hostiles
Clive Owen – Andorra
Colin Farrell – The Beguiled
Colin Farrell – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Daniel Craig – Kings
Demetrius Shipp, Jr. – All Eyez On Me
Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin
Fionn Whitehead – Dunkirk
Idris Elba – The Mountain Between Us
James McAvoy – Submergence
Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Jason Clarke – Chappaquiddick
Jason Clarke – The Aftermath
Jason Clarke – The Man with the Iron Heart
Javier Bardem – Escobar
Javier Bardem – mother!
Jean-Louis Trintignant – Happy End
Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife
Kenneth Branagh – Murder on the Orient Express
Liam Neeson – The Silent Man
Matt Damon – Downsizing
Matt Damon – Suburbicon
Michael Douglas – Head Full of Honey
Michael Fassbender – The Snowman
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Oscar Isaac – Life Itself
Ryan Gosling – Blade Runner 2049
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Tom Hardy – Fonzo

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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One comment

  1. What about Logan? I mean sure it will be understated cause he will probably get nommed for Best Showman but STILL…