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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (June) – Streep Reigns, Claire Foy, Margot Robbie and Daniela Vega Rise

No change for this month’s top 3, with Meryl Streep (Steven Spielberg’s Pentagon Papers Project) still locked in at #1 with 99 points (oh Jason…), Judi Dench at #2 for Victoria and Abdul (which just dropped a poster and trailer), Kate Winslet at #3 for Wonder Wheel and Frances McDormand at #5 for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. The only major change from last month is Jennifer Lawrence (mother!) dropping to #6 and Claire Foy (Breathe) owning the #4 spot all to herself. Don’t fret too much, JLaw stans, she’s merely a single point away from McDormand. While the top three basically held onto their point totals, the next three all improved quite a bit, distancing themselves from the rest of the pack. Of that top six, only Foy stands as the ‘newcomer’ or potential first-time nominee – all others have already won Oscars, four of them in this category.

Daniela Vega (A Fantastic Woman) makes a big move this month, from #9 to #7, nearly doubling her points in the process. This is partially because some of her chief competition, Isabelle Huppert (Happy End) and Halle Berry (Kings) drop off this month. Other drop-offs this month: Eva Green (Based on a True Story) and Kirsten Dunst (Woodshock). Margot Robbie (I, Tonya) moves up. Test screenings for her film have begun so it looks like it could make the 2017 cut.

Diane Kruger won the Cannes Best Actress prize last month for the German language In the Fade but the film has yet to secure a US distributor. We’ll be keeping an eye on her though.

With Halle Berry, whose film was picked up by The Orchard, dropping off we’re left with a very white list of actresses. It’s even more dire than Best Actor as no women of color have emerged as contenders this year in the Best Actress race. You can guarantee this will be a point of conversation and controversy once again if it proves to be another #OscarsSoWhite year.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actress for June from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

BEST ACTRESS ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Meryl Streep – Untitled Steven Spielberg Pentagon Papers Project 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 99
2 Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul 2 4 2 2 5 2 3 2 2 2 84
3 Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel 3 6 3 3 1 3 2 5 3 3 78
4 Claire Foy – Breathe 4 3 8 4 3 4 4 6 6 6 62
5 Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 6 2 4 7 6 7 5 4 5 5 59
6 Jennifer Lawrence – mother! 7 5 5 5 4 9 6 3 4 4 58
7 Daniela Vega – A Fantastic Woman 5 8 6 8 5 9 8 10 7 33
8 Rooney Mara – Mary Magdalene 8 9 7 8 10 8 7 10 8 10 25
9 Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker 6 7 9 7 15
10 Margot Robbie – I, Tonya (possibly 2018) 10 9 10 9 7 8 13
11 Rachel Weisz – Disobedience 7 10 7 9
12 Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game 9 10 10 9 9 8
13 Julianne Moore – Suburbicon 10 6 6
14 Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes 9 2
OTHER CONTENDERS
Alicia Vikander – Submergence
Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Annette Bening – The Seagull
Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
Diane Keaton – Hampstead
Diane Kruger – In the Fade
Emma Thompson – The Children Act
Eva Green – Based on a True Story
Eva Green – Euphoria
Glenn Close – The Wife
Halle Berry – Kings
Helena Bonham Carter – 55 Steps
Isabelle Huppert – Happy End
Jessica Chastain – Woman Walks Ahead
Julia Roberts – Wonder
Kate Beckinsale – The Only Living Boy in New York
Kate Winslet – The Mountain Between Us
Keira Knightley – The Aftermath
Kirsten Dunst – Woodshock
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Michelle Pfeiffer – Where is Kyra?
Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck
Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled
Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Rachel Weisz – My Cousin Rachel
Reese Witherspoon – Home Again
Sally Hawkins – Maudie
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Saoirse Ronan – On Chesil Beach

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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2 comments

  1. I CANNOT believe that you MISSED ” SALMA HAYEK ” in Beatriz at Dinner , i just saw this movie , i Think she rock with this performance so badly guys, not even an option unbelievable.

  2. I really wanna see Mother right now. Darren Aronofsky is awesome and this have the perfect combo : cast, director and script. Also Michelle Phiffer and Ed Harris deserve an Oscar too