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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (July) – Stagnation Reigns; Annette Bening and Sally Hawkins Debut

Oy, not much to report here. 12 of the 16 actresses getting votes this month are in the exact same position as last month. That stagnation comes from what feels like a field of uninspired choices. Five of the top 5 (well, 6) are previous Oscar winners. This can’t be what the list will look like January, can it? I have to imagine that in the next six months we’ll see some of these names fall and others rise.

Digging into the Other Contenders list could show us where new choices could come from. Glenn Close, a six-time Oscar nominee, could break through with The Wife. Salma Hayek in Beatriz at Dinner has gotten rave reviews and would be a welcome return to the Oscar race. If Mudbound can avoid the Netflix stigma (and release strategy), Carey Mulligan could be a force. Even though I’ve dropped Halle Berry (Kings) from my list maybe The Orchard can mount a strong campaign for her. A24 might be able to get Kirsten Dunst (Woodshock) her first Oscar nomination.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actress for July from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

BEST ACTRESS ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Meryl Streep – The Papers 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 99
2 Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul 2 4 2 2 5 2 4 3 2 2 82
3 Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel 3 6 3 3 1 3 2 5 3 3 78
4 Claire Foy – Breathe 4 3 8 4 4 4 3 6 6 6 62
5 Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 6 2 4 7 6 7 6 2 5 5 60
5 Jennifer Lawrence – mother! 7 5 5 5 3 8 5 4 4 4 60
7 Daniela Vega – A Fantastic Woman 5 9 6 8 5 7 7 10 7 35
8 Rooney Mara – Mary Magdalene 9 7 7 8 9 9 8 8 8 10 27
9 Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker 6 9 7 11
10 Margot Robbie – I, Tonya (possibly 2018) 10 9 10 10 10 9 9 10
11 Rachel Weisz – Disobedience 8 10 7 10 9
12 Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game 9 10 9 5
12 Julianne Moore – Suburbicon 6 5
14 Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool 8 3
14 Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes 8 3
16 Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Alicia Vikander – Submergence
Annette Bening – The Seagull
Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
Carey Mulligan – Mudbound
Diane Keaton – Hampstead
Diane Kruger – In the Fade
Emma Thompson – The Children Act
Eva Green – Based on a True Story
Eva Green – Euphoria
Glenn Close – The Wife
Halle Berry – Kings
Helena Bonham Carter – 55 Steps
Isabelle Huppert – Happy End
Jessica Chastain – Woman Walks Ahead
Julia Roberts – Wonder
Kate Beckinsale – The Only Living Boy in New York
Kate Winslet – The Mountain Between Us
Keira Knightley – The Aftermath
Kirsten Dunst – Woodshock
Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Michelle Pfeiffer – Where is Kyra?
Michelle Williams – All the Money in the World
Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck
Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled
Rachel Weisz – My Cousin Rachel
Sally Hawkins – Maudie
Saoirse Ronan – On Chesil Beach

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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One comment

  1. Michael Berard

    Eva Green should receive a nomination. She is an amazing actress.