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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (July) – Bigelow and Spielberg Tie for the Top Spot

Kathryn Bigelow (Detroit) returns to the #1 spot this month in our Best Director predictions, albeit tied with last month’s #1, Steven Spielberg (The Papers). Interestingly, Spielberg’s point total remains the same while Bigelow’s rises five.

Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) and Joe Wright (Darkest Hour) flip spots, and nearly the same point totals, giving Nolan his highest ranking to date. Luca Guadagnino (Call Me By Your Name) moves up one to enter the top 5. That pushes Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049) out and down to #6.

Two of last month’s debuts not only hang on but improve this month; Sean Baker (The Florida Project) moves up from #8 to #7 and Jordan Peele (Get Out) lands at #9 from a #11 start in June. Two of last month’s debuts fall off after just a single month; Michael Gracey (The Greatest Show on Earth) and Sofia Coppola (The Beguiled).

Richard Linklater (Last Flag Flying) returns the chart this month in a big way, landing at #10. Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) is the month’s sole new entry. He starts out at #14.

Two additions hit the Other Contenders list, featuring some potentially very Oscar-y names. Clint Eastwood is said to be getting his latest film (which hasn’t even started shooting yet) The 15:17 to Paris done by December and Ridley Scott could have his Getty kidnapping drama All the Money in the World, which is currently filming, ready for December as well.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions in Best Director for July from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
Orange – re-entry

BEST DIRECTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Kathryn Bigelow – Detroit 1 4 1 2 6 3 1 4 2 1 85
1 Steven Spielberg – The Papers 2 1 3 1 10 2 2 1 1 2 85
3 Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk 7 2 5 3 1 7 5 8 4 4 64
4 Joe Wright – Darkest Hour 5 2 5 5 6 4 7 3 5 57
5 Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name 6 3 7 6 2 10 7 2 6 6 55
6 Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 4 7 6 8 8 4 6 5 5 10 47
7 Sean Baker – The Florida Project 3 6 4 4 1 8 9 9 9 46
7 Dan Gilroy – Roman Israel, Esq. 8 8 7 3 3 3 7 3 46
9 Jordan Peele – Get Out 9 5 9 7 8 10 8 21
10 Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying 9 6 10 7 12
11 Dee Rees – Mudbound  10  4  10 9
12 Andrew Haigh – Lean on Pete 10 10 8 8 8
13 Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck  10  5 7
14 Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water  8  9 5
15 Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread  9  10 3
16 George Clooney – Suburbicon 9 2
16 Alexander Payne – Downsizing 9 2
16 Alfonso Gómez-Rejón – The Current War 9 2
19 Martin McDonaugh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game
Andy Serkis – Breathe
Clint Eastwood – The 15:17 to Paris
Darren Aronofsky – mother!
David Gordon Green – Stronger
Garth Davis – Mary Magdalene
Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Michael Haneke – Happy End
Reginald Hudlin – Marshall
Ridley Scott – All the Money in the World
Sebastián Lelio – Disobedience
Sofia Coppola – The Beguiled
Stanley Tucci – Final Portrait
Stephen Frears – Victoria and Abdul
Woody Allen – Wonder Wheel
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Killing of a Sacred Deer

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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