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2018 Oscar Predictions – BEST ACTOR (August): Debuts From Christian Bale, Daniel Kaluuya and Algee Smith

The Best Actor top 9 is exactly the same, albeit with a few placement changes. Denzel Washington (Roman Israel, Esq.) and Bryan Cranston (Last Flag Flying) leapfrog over Tom Hanks (The Papers) to land at #3 and #4, respectively. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) and Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) keep a firm hold on the top two spots.

Even with a new #10, Donald Sutherland in The Leisure Seeker, he only moves up one spot to get there, bumping last month’s #10 (Hugh Jackman in The Greatest Showman) to #11. Javier Bardem, however, makes a sizable jump from #17 to #12 on the strength of the mother! teaser released just yesterday.

There are three debuts this month. The highest is Christian Bale (Hostiles) at #13. Hostiles looks to hit more than a few fall festivals (including Toronto) but has yet to secure distribution. Get Out‘s Daniel Kaluuya and Detroit‘s Algee Smith come in at #16.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actor for August from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
Orange – re-entry

BEST ACTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
2 Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread 3 3 2 2 5 2 4 4 2 3 80
3 Denzel Washington – Roman Israel, Esq. 2 2 10 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 78
4 Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying 5 4 5 4 4 5 3 3 5 4 68
5 Tom Hanks – The Papers 6 7 3 6 7 4 5 5 4 5 58
6 Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name 4 5 8 5 2 7 6 7 6 7 53
7 Andrew Garfield – Breathe 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 6 8 6 44
8 Chadwick Boseman – Marshall 9 4 8 8 8 9 10 21
9 Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger 8 9 6 9 10 8 10 8 20
10 Donald Sutherland – The Leisure Seeker 9 10 9 8 8
11 Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman 9 10 7 7
12 Javier Bardem – mother! 9 8 5
13 Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 10 9 3
13 Christian Bale – Hostiles 8 3
15 Ben Stiller – Brad’s Status 9 2
16 Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out 10 1
16 Charlie Plummer – Lean on Pete 10 1
16 Matt Damon – Downsizing 10 1
16 Algee Smith – Detroit 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Adam Sandler – The Meyerowitz Stories
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Ben Foster – Galveston
Benicio Del Toro – Soldado
Billy Howle – On Chesil Beach
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Come Sunday
Colin Farrell – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Daniel Craig – Kings
Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin
Fionn Whitehead – Dunkirk
Geoffrey Rush – Final Portrait
James McAvoy – Submergence
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Javier Bardem – Escobar
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here
John Boyega – Detroit
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife
Kevin Spacey – All the Money in the World
Liam Neeson – Mark Felt: The Man Who Brought Down the White House
Mark Wahlberg – All the Money in the World
Matt Damon – Suburbicon
Michael Douglas – Head Full of Honey
Michael Fassbender – The Snowman
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Ryan Gosling – Blade Runner 2049
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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