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2018 Oscar Predictions – SUPPORTING ACTOR (August): Poulter, Shannon Make Big Moves, Rylance Debuts High

Call Me By Your Name‘s Michael Stuhlbarg may still have a solid hold on the #1 spot (where he’s never left since predictions began back in March) but Will Poulter (Detroit) and Michael Shannon (The Shape of Water) took their respective #14 and #15 debuts last month and skyrocket up to #5 (Shannon) and #6 (Poulter). Understandable as Shannon is clearly an Academy favorite (twice being the sole nomination for his films) and Poulter has received ‘best in show’ reviews for his performance as a vicious, racist cop. I’m predicting a big change next month though, with Shannon holding strong but Poulter collapsing under the weight of the backlash of his film.

There are two debuts on the chart this month, with one of them being a major one. Oscar winner Mark Rylance in Dunkirk (the current #1 in Best Picture and Best Director) jumps from the Other Contenders list all the way up to #6 on the strength of his film’s reviews, box office and his own previous Oscar win. Oscar nominee Richard Jenkins makes his first mark on the chart with The Shape of Water.

Elsewhere is a sea of blood red with no less than 10 performances seeing some drop in ranking. Laurence Fishburne (Last Flag Flying) is spared though as he actually moves up one to enter the top 3.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor for August from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

SUPPORTING ACTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 98
2 Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 92
3 Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying 4 3 8 4 3 4 3 3 5 4 69
4 Colin Farrell – Roman Israel, Esq. 5 5 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 65
5 Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water 4 8 5 5 5 4 5 41
6 Will Poulter – Detroit 3 5 6 5 8 10 6 9 36
6 Mark Rylance – Dunkirk 9 6 6 9 6 7 6 8 6 36
8 Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 6 7 4 7 7 6 9 8 34
9 Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour 3 8 9 7 7 21
10 Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete 10 8 5 7 9 16
11 Sterling K. Brown – Marshall 8 6 10 10 10
12 John Boyega – Detroit 7 9 9 10 9
13 Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name 10 9 8 10 10 8
14 Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 8 7 7
15 Javier Bardem – mother! 7 4
16 Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water 9 2
17 Idris Elba – Molly’s Game 10 1
17 Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Anthony Mackie – Detroit
Armie Hammer – Final Portrait
Ben Stiller – The Meyerowitz Stories
Bob Odenkirk – The Papers
Bradley Whitford – The Papers
Charlie Plummer – All the Money in the World
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene
Daniel Craig – Logan Lucky
Domhnall Gleeson – mother!
Dustin Hoffman – The Meyerowitz Stories
Ed Harris – mother!
Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound
Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049
Jacob Tremblay – Wonder
Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene
Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game
Kevin Spacey – All the Money in the World
Lucas Hedges – Lady Bird
Mark Wahlberg – All the Money in the World
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Michael Stuhlbarg – The Papers
Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon
Stanley Tucci – The Children Act
Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying
Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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