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2018 Oscar Predictions – SUPPORTING ACTRESS (August): Hunter, Spencer Go Top 5; Hong Chau, Juno Temple Rebound

Melissa Leo (Novitiate) holds onto the top spot for the third month in a row (with a perfect score, no less) but the big stories lie with Holly Hunter in The Big Sick who makes a huge jump from debuting at #11 last month to landing at #2. The Oscar-winning actress has the scene-stealing role in The Big Sick, the critically acclaimed summer box office sleeper that also stars Kumail Nanjiani, Zoe Kazan and Ray Romano. Hunter hasn’t been Oscar-nominated since 2003’s Thirteen where she was the film’s sole nomination. Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) also makes good on her debut last month and the Oscar-winning actress plants herself in the top 5 for August.

Two actresses are making note-worthy rebounds this month; Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Juno Temple (Wonder Wheel). For Chau, her climb is coming as her film will be hitting the major fall festivals, including opening Venice. There is still some hesitation from the Gold Rush Gang for the film itself after the very mixed responses from its multiple test screenings but Paramount is said to be making a major push for Chau for awards season. For Temple, she fell off the chart last month but comes roaring back with a pair of high-placed rankings. With word that Kate Winslet’s performance is ‘Blue Jasmine-esque’ we could see Temple be to Winslet was Sally Hawkins was to Cate Blanchett.

Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread), Carmen Ejogo (Roman Israel, Esq.) and Millicent Simmonds (Wonderstruck) make small moves up and Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) is the month’s sole debut at #13.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for August from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

SUPPORTING ACTRESS ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Melissa Leo – Novitiate 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
2 Holly Hunter – The Big Sick 3 5 7 3 7 3 3 8 3 3 65
3 Michelle Pfeiffer – mother! 8 3 2 3 7 2 3 2 5 64
4 Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water 2 4 6 6 6 8 5 9 5 4 55
5 Mary J. Blige – Mudbound 6 7 4 7 10 6 6 5 7 7 45
6 Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread 10 2 8 7 2 9 4 2 44
7 Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour 2 6 5 3 4 35
8 Brooklynn Prince – The Florida Project 4 10 5 8 4 7 6 33
9 Allison Janney – I, Tonya (possibly 2018) 6 9 8 9 7 8 7 9 10 26
10 Hong Chau – Downsizing 5 3 8 10 10 10 20
11 Julianne Moore – Suburbicon 4 2 16
12 Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel 5 2 15
13 Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird 9 4 9 9 13
14 Carmen Ejogo – Roman Israel, Esq. 7 8 10 8 11
15 Rachel McAdams – Disobedience 5 9 10 9
16 Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck 4 7
16 Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer 9 9 8 7
18 Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman 6 5
19 Catherine Keener – Get Out 10 8 4
OTHER CONTENDERS
Alison Brie – The Papers
Allison Williams – Get Out
Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
Carrie Coon – The Papers
Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete
Diana Rigg – Breathe
Isabelle Huppert – Happy End
Judi Dench – Murder on the Orient Express
Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck
Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman
Katherine Waterston – The Current War
Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread
Margot Robbie – Goodbye Christopher Robin
Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle
Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled
Rachel Weisz – Disobedience
Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman
Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake
Rosamund Pike – Entebbe
Sarah Paulson – The Papers
Tatiana Maslany – Stronger
Cathy Moriarty – Patti Cake$
Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Zendaya – The Greatest Showman

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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