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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (September)

The top 4 here remains the same as last month so either we’re doing something right or terribly wrong.

It’s a close race for #1 though, as Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water) bolts up to #2 and lands just a single point behind Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) this month. Venice and Telluride gave the Mexican director the biggest boost here and in Best Picture.

Dan Gilroy (Roman J. Israel, Esq.) heads into the top 5 for the first time, up from #7 last month. He leapfrogs over Sean Baker (The Florida Project) to do it. Jordan Peele (Get Out) is gaining more traction each month, he’s now at #7.

Previous Best Director nominees Richard Linklater, Paul Thomas Anderson and Alexander Payne inch their way up the list this month. Considering our current top five would be four first-timers and one previous winner there could be room for another veteran here.

As in Best Picture, Kathryn Bigelow (Detroit) plummets. Denis Villeneuve (Blade Runner 2049) and Todd Haynes (Wonderstruck) also fall and Darren Aronofsky (mother!) falls off the list despite the cool and cryptic buzz from his film, which hits Venice on the 5th.

READ: 2018 Oscar Predictions – BEST PICTURE (September)

With Bigelow out, it seemed like it was going to be up to Dee Rees (Mudbound) to represent for female directors this awards season but two new contenders popped up at Telluride: Angelina Jolie with First They Killed My Father: A Daughter of Cambodia Remembers and Greta Gerwig with Lady Bird. Both films were raved with their directorial efforts singled out. Those are two in the Other Contenders section to absolutely keep an eye on.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions in Best Director for September from the Gold Rush Gang. Follow all predictions as they are updated live throughout the month right here.

Best Director

Edit
BEST DIRECTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 93
2 Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 1 3 3 92
3 Steven Spielberg – The Post 3 3 3 3 4 2 3 3 1 2 83
4 Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name 4 4 4 4 3 9 4 4 4 4 66
5 Dan Gilroy – Roman J. Israel, Esq. 8 9 8 8 5 7 5 6 5 5 44
6 Sean Baker – The Florida Project 9 7 6 5 7 3 8 8 6 8 43
7 Jordan Peele – Get Out 5 5 7 8 5 6 5 6 41
8 Joe Wright – Darkest Hour 6 8 7 6 10 9 7 8 10 28
9 Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying 10 9 9 8 7 10 7 7 21
9 Paul Thomas Anderson – Phantom Thread 6 5 10 6 9 9 21
11 Alexander Payne – Downsizing 7 10 10 6
12 Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 9 10 9 5
12 Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck 6 5
14 Kathryn Bigelow – Detroit 7 4
15 Dee Rees – Mudbound 10 10 2

OTHER CONTENDERS
Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game
Alfonso Gómez-Rejón – The Current War
Angelina Jolie – First They Killed My Father: A Daughter of Cambodia Remembers
Andy Serkis – Breathe
Clint Eastwood – The 15:17 to Paris
Darren Aronofsky – mother!
David Gordon Green – Stronger
Garth Davis – Mary Magdalene
George Clooney – Suburbicon
Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird
Martin McDonaugh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Patty Jenkins – Wonder Woman
Reginald Hudlin – Marshall
Ridley Scott – All the Money in the World
Ruben Östlund – The Square
Scott Cooper – Hostiles
Sofia Coppola – The Beguiled
Stephen Frears – Victoria and Abdul
Woody Allen – Wonder Wheel
Yorgos Lanthimos – The Killing of a Sacred Deer

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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