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2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (September)

After a stranglehold on the #1 spot for six months, Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) has finally relinquished the top spot…for now. Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) has quickly been working his way up the chart and for September ends up our new frontrunner.

But that might not even be the biggest story, certainly not the biggest move. After premiering at the Venice Film Festival to rave reviews, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri didn’t just end up being a boost for Frances McDormand in Best Actress but Sam Rockwell goes from #14 last month (where he was on his way down) and blasts into the top five to land at #4. Rockwell has long been a respected actor and many have thought him Oscar worthy before but this seems to be his best shot yet.

Michael Shannon receives a leg up on the strength of The Shape of Water across the board, as does his co-star Richard Jenkins. They both make small climbs up.

A handful of new entries populate the list this month: Kevin Spacey (All the Money in the World), Jim Belushi (Wonder Wheel), Jamie Bell (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool) and Christoph Waltz (Downsizing).

It’s not so good news for more than a half dozen other contenders though. As fast he went up, Detroit‘s Will Poulter goes from a high of #6 last month to back down to the Other Contenders list. Colin Farrell (Roman J. Israel, Esq.) takes a dip on account of Rockwell’s rise and Sterling K. Brown (Marshall), Steve Buscemi (Lean On Pete), Javier Bardem (mother!) and Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes) fall out contention for the month. Carell may find himself returning but his category placement for both BotS and Last Flag Flying is up in the air

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor for September from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

SUPPORTING ACTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 97
2 Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name 1 3 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 92
3 Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water 3 4 4 3 4 4 3 5 3 3 74
4 Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 5 2 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 72
5 Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying 4 5 8 5 6 5 5 3 5 5 59
6 Colin Farrell – Roman J. Israel, Esq. 6 7 6 7 5 6 5 6 6 6 50
7 Mark Rylance – Dunkirk 7 8 8 6 7 7 8 10 9 6 34
8 Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour 10 3 8 8 8 9 8 8 26
9 Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 8 9 9 9 9 7 9 9 19
10 Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name 7 10 7 10 10
11 Kevin Spacey – All the Money in the World 6 9 7
12 Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water 10 10 7 6
12 Jim Belushi – Wonder Wheel 10 10 7 6
14 Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool 9 2
14 Christoph Waltz – Downsizing 10 10 2
OTHER CONTENDERS
Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Ben Stiller – The Meyerowitz Stories
Bob Odenkirk – The Post
Bradley Whitford – The Post
Charlie Plummer – All the Money in the World
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene
Daniel Craig – Logan Lucky
Dustin Hoffman – The Meyerowitz Stories
Ed Harris – mother!
Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound
Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049
Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
Jacob Tremblay – Wonder
Javier Bardem – mother!
John Boyega – Detroit
Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game
Lucas Hedges – Lady Bird
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Michael Stuhlbarg – The Post
Ray Romano – The Big Sick
Stanley Tucci – The Children Act
Sterling K. Brown – Marshall
Steve Buscemi – The Death of Stalin
Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying
Wes Studi – Hostiles
Will Poulter – Detroit

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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