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FINAL Golden Globe Nomination Predictions: Will Get Out Get In?

The Golden Globes are the first major televised awards show of the season and it all starts right here, with the nominations. Every year the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) must fend off jabs that the 90+ organization of foreign journalists (representing 55 countries) is nothing less than having a chance to hob-knob with stars but in the recent past they seem to be making an effort to legitimize themselves after debacles that have made them a laughingstock.

This year will be an interesting one for them as they do have one semi-controversy to manage and that’s the placement of Get Out in Comedy/Musical. When it was announced there was a predictable uproar on Twitter over it but it could have been exactly the boost and image the movie needed. The movie came out last February and now must compete in a heavy rotation of awards films and any amount of publicity is a good thing, right? Two things could happen with it on Monday morning; it maxes out its nominations potential (Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actor, maybe Supporting Actress) or it gets cruelly snubbed. Either way is going to create chatter that will only help the film. I’ve seen some predictions with both scenarios playing out so it will be fascinating to see where the film land.

This is also going to be a put up or shut up moment for films like Dunkirk and Darkest Hour. With the critics’ season already underway, both films (and its stars) have underperformed significantly. Gary Oldman (DH) and Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) just earned their first awards today after the majors have already announced. Darkest Hour has an extra obstacle to overcome and that’s the film’s star, Gary Oldman. Oldman has been very vocal in his distaste for the Golden Globes, calling then “bent” and that a “‘sympathy win’ or someone will get something for their body of work rather than that role.”  A bit ironic as he is now in that position. Would the HFPA snub him for that? Nah, that would be highly unlikely but boy, would it be the story of the day. He’ll get nominated but the real test will be if he can win.

Another big question hanging over the Globes is what to do with Ridley Scott’s All the Money in the World. As we all know, the film was locked and ready for screening and closing AFI Fest and then the Kevin Spacey sexual assault allegations put the brakes on that. Scott announced he would be cutting Spacey out of the film completely and replacing him with his original choice, Christopher Plummer. At an enormous cost and with break-neck speed, Scott was able to get his reshoots done and show a rough cut to the HFPA by their December 4th deadline. But, is it enough or too little too late? Plummer, as oil tycoon J. Paul Getty, could score a Supporting Actor nomination but who would he replace? It’s a tough call.

Last year’s big winners here were La La Land, which won a record-setting seven Golden Globe awards. That may have been the beginning of the ‘too much is too much’ feeling for that film. Moonlight also won the top Drama award on its way to its auspicious Best Picture Oscar win.

The nominations for the 75th Golden Globes will be announced on December 11, 2017 by Alfre Woodard, Garrett Hedlund, Kristen Bell, and Sharon Stone. Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson’s daughter, Simone Garcia Johnson, is this year’s Golden Globe Ambassador.

Here are my final predictions and my November 16 ones for comparison.

Motion Picture – Drama

Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

In the running: Darkest Hour, The Florida Project, Mudbound, Phantom Thread

Actor – Motion Picture, Drama

Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks – The Post
Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour

In the running: Christian Bale – Hostiles, Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool, Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq

Actress – Motion Picture, Drama

Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Diane Kruger – In the Fade
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Meryl Streep – The Post

In the running: Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool, Salma Hayek – Beatriz at Dinner, Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread

Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical

The Big Sick
The Disaster Artist
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird

In the running: Battle of the Sexes, Beauty and the Beast, Downsizing, The Greatest Showman, Victoria and Abdul

Actor – Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical

Matt Damon – Downsizing
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Kumail Nanjiani – The Big Sick

In the running: Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes, Tom Cruise – American Made, Eugenio Derbez – How to Be a Latin Lover

Actress – Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical

Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes
Emma Watson – Beauty and the Beast

In the running: Zoe Kazan – The Big Sick, Allison Williams – Get Out, Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman

Directing

Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
Luca Guadagnino – Call Me by Your Name
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Steven Spielberg – The Post

In the running: Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird, Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Dee Rees, Mudbound

Supporting Actor

Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Armie Hammer – Call Me by Your Name
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water
Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name

In the running: Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World, Idris Elba – Molly’s Game, Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water, Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour

Supporting Actress

Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water

In the running: Hong Chau – Downsizing, Tiffany Haddish – Girls Trip, Catherine Keener – Get Out, Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread, Tatiana Maslany – Stronger

Screenplay

Call Me by Your Name
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

In the running: The Disaster Artist, Molly’s Game, Phantom Thread, The Post

Original Score

Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water

In the running: Blade Runner 2049, Coco, Downsizing

Original Song

“Evermore” – Beauty and the Beast
“Mystery of Love” – Call Me By Your Name
“Remember Me” – Coco
“I Don’t Wanna Live Forever” – Fifty Shades Darker
“This Is Me” – The Greatest Showman

In the running: “If I Dare” – Battle of the Sexes, “Prayers for this World,” Cries from Syria, “The Star,” The Star

Animated Film

The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Cars 3
Coco
The Lego Batman Movie

In the running: Despicable Me 3, Ferdinand, Loving Vincent

Foreign Language Film

BPM (France)
First They Killed My Father (Cambodia/USA)
Foxtrot (Israel)
In the Fade (Germany)
Loveless (Russia)

In the running: A Fantastic Woman (Chile), The Square (Sweden), Thelma (Norway)

About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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