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Home / Predictions / Film / Oscars / The Gold Rush Gang / 2018 Oscar Predictions / 2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (December Part 2) – Dafoe Still #1 but Plummer Makes His Move

2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (December Part 2) – Dafoe Still #1 but Plummer Makes His Move

Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project), who’s won over a dozen critics’ awards this season (15, as of this writing) remains the leader, increasing his point level back up to 99 (only Jason has him at #2). Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) has been earning lots of regional critics’ prizes (he’s at 8 there) and is still a solid 2nd place.

The big move up the chart is Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water). He moves from #6 to #3 on the strength of his Golden Globe and SAG nominations. Armie Hammer and Michael Stuhlbarg (both from Call Me By Your Name) hold on to Top 5 status but nipping at Stuhlbarg’s heels is Rockwell’s co-star Woody Harrleson. Harrelson received a SAG nomination alongside Rockwell (where neither Hammer nor Stuhlbarg did) and with that we get closer to having dual supporting actors nominated in the same year at the Oscars for the first time since 1992. Harrelson moves up to #6 from #10.

Mark Rylance (Dunkirk) falls out of the top five and Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World) makes a serious play for a nomination here after his Golden Globe mention. Since his film was only screened for the Hollywood Foreign Press he wasn’t able to earn SAG or Critics’ Choice nominations but now that the film has been seen and Plummer is all over it (with just nine days of shooting and as many days of post-production) this may be the easiest and best way for the Academy to recognize the efforts and ability of director Ridley Scott (if they don’t give him a Best Director nomination, that is).

Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes) returns to the chart with SAG and Golden Globe nominations (the former in supporting, the latter in lead).

2018 Oscar Predictions (December Part 2): BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor for the second half of December from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
Orange – re-entry

SUPPORTING ACTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 99
2 Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 91
3 Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water 4 3 4 3 7 3 4 3 3 3 73
4 Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name 3 4 3 4 4 7 3 4 8 4 66
5 Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name 6 6 6 6 3 5 6 5 6 6 55
6 Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 5 5 5 5 6 5 7 5 5 51
7 Mark Rylance – Dunkirk 7 8 7 7 5 8 7 7 7 36
8 Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World 8 7 10 4 6 4 8 30
9 Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water 9 8 9 6 8 8 9 10 21
10 Bob Odenkirk – The Post 10 8 10 9 10 10 9
11 Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 10 9 8 10 7
11 Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes 9 10 9 9 7
13 Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour 9 2
13 Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying 9 2
15 Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound 10 1

OTHER CONTENDERS
Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049
Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
Jacob Tremblay – Wonder
Patrick Stewart – Logan
Ray Romano – The Big Sick
Sebastian Stan – I, Tonya

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About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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