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2019 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (April) – ‘Widows’ Moves Up, ‘Cheney’ Remains

Steve McQueen, Widows

As in Best Picture and Best Director, Widows replaces BlacKkKlansman for the #1 spot this month in Adapted Screenplay. The Spike Lee film, which will make its debut at the Cannes Film Festival next month, dips just a bit to #3. Barry Jenkins’s adaptation of James Baldwin’s If Beale Street Could Talk moves up to #2.

This year is the opposite of last year with a wealth of contenders vying for a spot. Outside the top 10 we also have potential contenders in Beautiful Boy, The Front Runner, Old Man and the Gun, The Sisters Brothers, Where’d You Go Bernadette, Wildlife and The Women of Marwen.

Here are my predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay as of April 19, 2018.

1. Widows
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. First Man
 
6. Mary Queen of Scots
7. Boy Erased
8. Untitled Pippa Bianco aka Share
9. Crazy Rich Asians
10. Black Panther
OTHER CONTENDERS
The Aftermath
Beautiful Boy
The Catcher Was a Spy
Disobedience
Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot
Fighting with My Family
The Front Runner
Gloria
The Incredibles 2
Kursk
Leave No Trace
Lean on Pete
The Little Stranger
The Man Who Killed Don Quixote
Mary Poppins Returns
The Mercy
Old Man and the Gun
The Sisters Brothers
Smallfoot
A Star is Born
Suspiria
The True History of the Kelly Gang
Vita and Virginia
Where’d You Go, Bernadette
The White Crow
The Wife
Wildlife
The Women of Marwen
Adam McKay, Untitled Dick Cheney biopic

No changes in Original Screenplay this month. Adam McKay’s Dick Cheney biopic feels like a very strong frontrunner. It also stands the best chance at Best Picture, Director and multiple acting nominations within this top 10. Unlike last year, which saw all five eventual Oscar nominees coming from Best Picture nominees, this year’s crop feels a bit more eclectic. Probably why I’ve stuck with a top 5 that feels likely to hit in some above the line categories.

Looking to the Other Contenders list we could see Mid 90s, The Hummingbird Project, A Quiet Place or Tully break in.

Here are my predictions for Best Original Screenplay as of April 19, 2018.

1. Untitled Dick Cheney biopic
2. Roma
3. Ad Astra
4. Peterloo
5. Destroyer
 
6. Fast Color
7. Eighth Grade
8. Isle of Dogs
9. The Favourite
10. Hereditary
OTHER CONTENDERS
Bad Times at the El Royale
Ben is Back
Blindspotting
Bohemian Rhapsody
Burden
Colette
Come Sunday
Damsel
Everybody Knows
Georgetown
Green Book
The Happy Prince
Hearts Beat Loud
High Life
The Hummingbird Project
Loro
Mid 90s
The Nightingale
On the Basis of Sex
Operation Finale
A Quiet Place
Tully
Wendy
What They Had

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (April)

About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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