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2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (June) – Spike Lee rebounds; Bradley Cooper’s ‘Star’ rises

Bradley Cooper is strumming his way up the chart with his directorial debut A Star Is Born

Just as in Best Picture, Spike Lee (BlacKkKlansman from Focus Features) rebounds and lands back in the top spot for June.

Lee’s move pushes last month’s #1 Steve McQueen (20th Century Fox’s Widows) down to #4. Oscar winners Adam McKay (Annapurna’s Backseat), Damien Chazelle (Universal’s First Man) and Barry Jenkins (Annapurna’s If Beale Street Could Talk) stay put in their same spots as May.

Yorgos Lanthimos (Fox Searchlight’s The Favourite) makes the big move though, climbing out of the Next Up section up to #7 on the chart, displacing fellow Fox Searchlight director Marielle Heller for Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Bradley Cooper (Warner Bros. A Star Is Born) ekes closer to the top 5, moving up one to #6 this month. Josie Rourke (Mary Queen of Scots from Focus Features) and Karyn Kusama (Annapurna’s Destroyer) hold on to #9 and #10.

I think there is a lot of potential for a Next Up contender to disrupt this top 10 in the coming months. James Gray’s Ad Astra (from 20th Century Fox) could be his Oscar breakthrough, Ryan Coogler mounted the most successful comic book/superhero movie of all time with Disney’s Black Panther, Mike Leigh is always a formidable Oscar candidate and this year he has Peterloo from Amazon. What if Netflix was able to mount a real campaign for Orson Welles and his finally completed final film The Other Side of the Wind? It seems a near impossible feat but the thought of it is too interesting to not keep in the conversation.

Here are my 2019 Oscar predictions in Best Director for June 18, 2018.

Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut

1. Spike Lee – BlacKkKlansman
2. Adam McKay – Backseat
3. Damien Chazelle – First Man
4. Steve McQueen – Widows
5. Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
6. Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born
7. Yorgos Lanthimos – The Favourite
8. Marielle Heller – Can You Ever Forgive Me?
9. Josie Rourke – Mary Queen of Scots
10. Karyn Kusama – Destroyer

 

NEXT UP
James Gray – Ad Astra
Ryan Coogler – Black Panther
Nadine Labaki – Capernaum
Jason Reitman – The Front Runner
Mimi Leder – On the Basis of Sex
Orson Welles – The Other Side of the Wind
Mike Leigh – Peterloo
Alfonso Cuarón – Roma
Pippa Bianco – Untitled Pippa Bianco aka Share
Benh Zeitlin – Wendy

 

OTHER CONTENDERS
Felix van Groeningen – Beautiful Boy
Bryan Singer – Bohemian Rhapsody
Jon M. Chu – Crazy Rich Asians
Julia Hart – Fast Color
Sebastián Lelio – Gloria Bell
Alice Rohrwacher – Happy as Lazzaro
Ari Aster – Hereditary
Kim Nyugen – The Hummingbird Project
Wes Anderson – Isle of Dogs
Justin Kelly – JT Leroy
Debra Granik – Leave No Trace
Paolo Sorrentino – Loro
Rob Marshall – Mary Poppins Returns
Jonah Hill – Mid 90s
Jennifer Kent – The Nightingale
David Lowery – The Old Man & the Gun
David Mackenzie – Outlaw King
Chloe Zhao – The Rider
Jacques Audiard – The Sisters Brothers
László Nemes – Sunset
Luca Guadagnino – Suspiria
Jason Reitman – Tully
Susanna White – Woman Walks Ahead
Robert Zemeckis – The Women of Marwen
Lynne Ramsay – You Were Never Really Here

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (June) – ‘BlacKkKlansman’ back on top, ‘The Favourite’ moves up

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About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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