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2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (June) – Ethan Hawke joins the race

Ethan Hawke aims to reform the Best Actor chart

Very little change on the Best Actor chart this month and in fact, no movement within the top 10 at all. All positions seem secure and haven’t hit any dramatic bumps in the positive or negative.

The Next Up section that sees tone new entry and one worth a deeper look.

Ethan Hawke in First Reformed, for a performance that’s being called his best. Although it feels more like one that will hit with the Gothams and Independent Spirits, Hawke is already a four-time Oscar nominee (two for writing, two for acting) so his time may be coming with this career-defining role.

Viggo Mortensen is a two-time Best Actor Oscar nominee, including just two years ago for Captain Fantastic. In Green Book, he plays a working-class Italian-American bouncer who becomes the driver of an African-American classical pianist (played by Oscar-winner Mashershala Ali) on a tour of venues through the 1960s American South. It sounds like a great role and it’s a film I’ve been keeping my eye on. It has an early January release in the UK but no US distribution as of yet. I expect that to change very soon.

Those most vulnerable to Hawke and Mortensen making moves are probably Willem Dafoe (CBS Films has At Eternity’s Gate and have only had one Oscar hit – Hell or High Water), Brad Pitt in Ad Astra (a film that could go either way) and Rami Malek in Bohemian Rhapsody (his performance is going to have to overshadow two big controversies – the potential straight-washing of his Freddie Mercury and Bryan Singer retaining directing credit for the film).

Here are my predictions in Best Actor for June 19, 2018.

Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut

1. Christian Bale – Backseat
2. Ryan Gosling – First Man
3. Steve Carell – Beautiful Boy
4. John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman
5. Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased
6. Bradley Cooper – A Star Is Born
7. Hugh Jackman – The Front Runner
8. Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate
9. Brad Pitt – Ad Astra
10. Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody

 

NEXT UP
Steve Carell – Welcome to Marwen
Ethan Hawke – First Reformed
Rory Kinnear – Peterloo
Viggo Mortensen – Green Book
Robert Redford – The Old Man & the Gun

 

OTHER CONTENDERS
Javier Bardem – Everybody Knows
Chadwick Boseman – Black Panther
Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy
John Cho – Search
Jesse Eisenberg – The Hummingbird Project
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Ben Foster – Leave No Trace
Garrett Hedlund – Burden
John Huston – The Other Side of the Wind
Oscar Isaac – Operation Finale
Robert Pattinson – High Life
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here
Chris Pine – Outlaw King
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife
John C. Reilly – The Sisters Brothers
John C. Reilly – Stan and Ollie
Toni Servillo – Loro
Alexander Skarsgård – The Hummingbird Project
Christoph Waltz – Georgetown

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (June)

About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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