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Predictions

Gotham Awards Winner Predictions: Call Me By Your Name vs Get Out

The Gotham Awards aren’t usually looked at as a serious precursor but in a year where everything is so up in the air, I’ll take what I can get. It’s also worth noting that last year’s winners here for Best Feature and Screenplay (both Moonlight), Best Actor (Manchester by the Sea‘s Casey Affleck) and Documentary (O.J. Made in America) all ...

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Independent Spirit Award Nominations Predictions: Good Time, Call Me By Your Name, Get Out, Florida Project Could Be Top Contenders

The nominations for the 33rd Film Independent Spirit Awards are tomorrow and here’s your 11th hour predictions. Lily Collins and Tessa Thompson will announce the nominees. The Independent Spirit Awards began as the alternative Oscars (they still have their show the day before the Academy Awards) but in the last decade have really become the place for Oscar’s Best Picture ...

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Golden Globe Predictions (Motion Picture): The Post, Call Me By Your Name, Three Billboards, Get Out, Lady Bird and I, Tonya in the fight

The Golden Globes feel more difficult to predict this year than most. With category placements for films like Three Billboards in Drama, Get Out in Comedy and Beatriz at Dinner (which is appealing its Drama ruling) the line of what defines a film’s genre keeps getting muddier each year. The split of the top categories made more sense in the ...

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2018 Oscars: Animated Feature – Analyzing the Chances of My Entire High School Sinking Into the Sea and Cinderella the Cat

The Animated Feature Oscar race is officially on. Yesterday AMPAS released the list of 26 eligible animated features in the category and while there were no notable indie omissions, Lionsgate’s My Little Pony: The Movie and TWC’s Leap! were notably absent. In our fourth analysis piece on this year’s indie contenders, we take a look at two low-profile indie animated ...

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2018 Oscars: Analyzing FLF contenders from Cambodia, South Korea and China

Our fifth piece on this year’s Foreign Language Oscar race turns to Asia, a region that has been regularly absent come nominations day in this category. The reason for this Asian underperformance isn’t quite clear – but it looks like the nominations committee leans towards more European fare as opposed to African and Asian films which may be seen as ...

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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (November)

Just as Frances McDormand did in Best Actress, we have a new leader in Best Picture and it’s Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri. The margin may be slim (it’s just a single point ahead of Dunkirk) but something impressive to note is that it essentially flip-flopped with The Shape of Water, Fox Searchlight’s other top contender. Last month Dunkirk and ...

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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (November)

Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) holds a commanding lead in Best Director once again, this time free of the tie with Guillermo del Toro (The Shape of Water), who falls back to #2. The never-nominated Nolan is all but assured his place at the Best Director table after his perceived snubs for The Dark Knight and Inception, both of which earned a ...

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2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (November)

This is starting to look like the summer months of Best Actress. It’s a stagnant month in Best Actor as it’s the same top 5 and all in the same spot. But let’s take a closer look at the numbers. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) still has a perfect score of 100, Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread – trailer here) drops a ...

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