web analytics
Home / Forum Oscar Poll Results – May 2014

Forum Oscar Poll Results – May 2014

forumoscarpollresults

Below are the forum Oscar poll results for May 2014.

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST PICTURE

From left; Paul Thomas Anderson, Thomas Pynchon's novel, Joaquin Phoenix
Inherent Vice

01. Inherent Vice (83%)
02. Gone Girl (81%)
03. Foxcatcher (78%)
04. Big Eyes (76%)
05. Birdman (69%)
06. Unbroken (67%)
07. Interstellar (66%)
08. A Most Violent Year (47%)
09. The Grand Budapest Hotel (38%)
10. Fury (31%)

Although the make-up of the Top 10 remains the same as last month, some placements have changed. Last month’s tied #1s, 20th Century Fox‘s Gone Girl and Sony Pictures Classics‘ Foxcatcher have been bumped to 2nd and 3rd, respectively, and Warner Brothers‘ Inherent Vice is the new #1. It also has the biggest percentage jump in the top 10, up 6 points. Fox Searchlight‘s Birdman, although down just a bit, finds its way into the top 5, edging out Paramount‘s Interstellar, which makes the biggest drop, down 8 points. Columbia‘s Fury saw the second largest fall, down 7 points, probably due to lack of any new photos or info on the film. Universal‘s Oscar hope, Unbroken moves up one but is still just outside of the Top 5. Odd, since Jolie is in the Top 5 in the Director poll. Looks like we might see this holding pattern with this list until a new trailer or festival comes along to change it up. Bennett Miller’s directing win at Cannes might see Foxcatcher move back up next month though.

 Newcomers:
None

Falling Out of the Top 10:
None

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST DIRECTOR

Paul Thomas Anderson, Inherent Vice
Paul Thomas Anderson, Inherent Vice

01. Paul Thomas Anderson, Inherent Vice (67%)
02. Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher (64%)
03. Angelina Jolie, Unbroken (61%)
04. Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman (59%)
05. David Fincher, Gone Girl (54%)
06. Tim Burton, Big Eyes (49%)
07. Christopher Nolan, Interstellar (41%)
08. J.C. Chandor, A Most Violent Year (26%)
09. Stephen Daldry, Trash (11%)
10. Richard Linklater, Boyhood (10%)

Although Paul Thomas Anderson stays at #1, it looks like late voting and Bennett Miller’s directing win at Cannes played a big part in his huge jump from 6th place (and 54%) last month to 2nd place and a 10-point bump. Tim Burton saw support plummet 8 points, putting him just outside the Top 5. More visibility of Boyhood puts Richard Linklater in the race, debuting at #10 this month at the expense of Wes Anderson, who falls off the list.

Newcomers:
Richard Linklater, Boyhood

Falling Out of the Top 10:
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST ACTOR

Steve Carell, Foxcatcher
Steve Carell, Foxcatcher

01. Steve Carell, Foxcatcher (81%)
02. Michael Keaton, Birdman (71%)
03. Joaquin Phoenix, Inherent Vice (61%)
04. Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes (51%)
05. Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game (39%)

06. Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner (26%)
07. Jack O’Connell, Unbroken (20%)
08. Oscar Isaac, A Most Violent Year (17%)
09. Bradley Cooper, American Sniper (14%)
10. Jeremy Renner, Kill the Messenger (13%)

The top 5 remains the same (except that O’Connell falls to 7th) but the numbers are all up. Steve Carell sees the biggest jump, as a result of Foxcatcher’s appearance at Cannes. Timothy Spall’s Best Actor triumph there should see a boost next month at the expense of Benedict Cumberbatch, whose sneak peek at Cannes was met with an unimpressed response.

Newcomer:
Jeremy Renner, Kill the Messenger

Falling out of the Top 10:
Brad Pitt, Fury
Chadwick Boseman, Get On Up

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST ACTRESS

Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Amy Adams, Big Eyes

01. Amy Adams, Big Eyes (81%)
02. Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl (68%)
03. Reese Witherspoon, Wild (66%)
04. Michelle Williams, Suite Française (53%)
05. Hilary Swank, The Homesman (47%)

06. Meryl Streep, Into the Woods (36%)
07. Jessica Chastain, The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Them (18%)
07. Carey Mulligan, Suffragette (18%)
09. Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year (14%)
10. Cate Blanchett, Carol (10%)

Michelle Williams saw her support fall significantly from April to May, while Reese Witherspoon’s continues to rise. Streep’s percentage actually improves a bit as well. It should be noted that Swank’s strength was based on The Homesman being in competition at Cannes but since the mixed to bad reviews came after its screening you can expect her to plummet in June. Jessica Chastain continues to be a conundrum; so many films for consideration but confusion as to where she’ll be placed in A Most Violent Year and if Miss Julie and/or Eleanor Rigby will be released this year. All of which results in just mid-to-high teen figures.

Newcomer:
Jessica Chastain, The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby: Them

Falling Out of the Top 10:
Jessica Chastain, Miss Julie

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Edward Norton, Birdman
Edward Norton, Birdman

01. Edward Norton, Birdman (75%)
02. Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher (69%)
03. Josh Brolin, Inherent Vice (64%)
04. Neil Patrick Harris, Gone Girl (49%)
05. J.K. Simmons, Whiplash (46%)

06. Miyavi, Unbroken (39%)
07. Channing Tatum, Foxcatcher (26%)
08. Logan Lerman, Fury (21%)
09. Benicio Del Toro, Inherent Vice (18%)
10. Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel (16%)

Some change-up as Edward Norton passes Mark Ruffalo to be the new #1; interesting, since Ruffalo should have seen a boost going into Cannes. With reviews focusing on Steve Carell and Channing Tatum though, will Ruffalo fall even more next month or will the success of HBO’s The Normal Heart balance it out for him? We also see Miyavi’s star fall a bit and J.K. Simmons, who saw a massive boost, replacing him. Neil Patrick Harris remains in the top 5 but knocked down a place and 10%. Predictors seem to solidify around Waltz going Lead as he is dropped from the Top 10 and support for a Supporting push for Ralph Fiennes gets him enough votes to make his first appearance here.

Newcomer:
Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Falling Out of the Top 10:
Matthias Schoenaerts, Suite française; Christoph Waltz, Big Eyes

(hover over the graph for more details…)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year

01. Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year (59%)
02. Emma Stone, Birdman (57%)
03. Viola Davis, Get on Up (46%)
04. Anna Kendrick, Into the Woods (45%)
05. Kristin Scott Thomas, Suite française (26%)

06. Annette Bening, The Search (24%)
07. Emily Blunt, Into the Woods (22%)
08. Laura Dern, Wild (17%)
09. Julianne Moore, Maps to the Stars (16%)
10. Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game (15%)

Jessica Chastain and Emma Stone overtake Viola Davis for the #1 and #2 slots, respectively, as Davis sees a 16-point drop to 3rd. But the big story here is Kristen Scott Thomas dropping a huge 29 points to land in 5th place. Following Michelle Williams, KST could be out of the top 10 entirely by next month. Julianne Moore sees a small bump but her Best Actress win at Cannes should see her star rise significantly in next month’s totals. Although Annette Bening rises from 9th to 6th this month, but very poor reviews for The Search at Cannes will likely see her support fall. Laura Dern in Wild is the only newcomer this month and she lands in 8th place.

Newcomer:
Laura Dern, Wild

Falling Out of the Top 10:
Naomi Watts, St. Vincent; Meryl Streep, Suffragette

(hover over the graph for more details…)

(hover over the graph for more details…)