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2018 Oscar Predictions: THE SCREENPLAYS (April)

Not much change this month in the screenplay categories from last month; Adapted Screenplay has the same top 6 and in the same order with Wonderstruck holding a commanding lead but Call Me Your Name is still strong and Lean on Pete gains in points.

Original Screenplay is virtually unchanged in its top 5 save for the addition of The Post. It replaces Paul Thomas Anderson’s Fashion Project, which plummets to #11. Otherwise, #1, #2, #3, and #5 remain the same. Downsizing widens the gap between itself and Kathryn Bigelow’s Detroit Riots Project. Last month a single point separated the two, this month Downsizing‘s point total is +8.

LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions in Adapted and Original Screenplay for April from the Gold Rush Gang.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

Wonderstruck (Amazon)
Wonderstruck (Amazon)
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Wonderstruck 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 6 1 1 94
2 Call Me By Your Name 2 2 3 2 1 4 2 5 3 2 84
3 Lean on Pete 3 4 2 4 4 2 3 2 2 4 80
4 Last Flag Flying 5 3 7 3 3 6 4 9 4 3 63
5 Mudbound 4 8 4 5 3 5 4 5 6 55
6 Molly’s Game 8 6 5 6 8 5 6 7 6 5 48
7 Disobedience 6 7 9 7 6 7 8 8 8 10 34
8 Victoria and Abdul 9 9 6 8 7 9 10 10 9 8 25
9 Leisure Seeker, The 7 8 9 9 10 7 7 9 22
10 The Death of Stalin 5 5 9 7 18
11 How to Talk to Girls at Parties 10 10 10 10 4
11 Blade Runner 2049 10 8 4
13 Can You Ever Forgive Me? 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Beguiled, The
Glass Castle, The
Mountain Between Us, The
Snowman, The
Stronger
Thoroughbred
Untouchable
Wonder
You Were Never Really Here
Downsizing (Paramount)
Downsizing (Paramount)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Downsizing 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 97
2 Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Project 2 2 1 2 6 1 2 1 2 2 89
3 Darkest Hour 4 6 3 4 3 4 3 4 3 5 71
4 The Post 3 4 4 3 4 3 5 4 4 65
5 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 7 3 8 7 5 9 6 9 5 3 48
6 Get Out 6 7 9 6 7 7 9 10 8 7 34
7 Inner City (possibly 2018) 5 2 4 6 10 8 31
8 Current War, The 8 10 10 8 10 7 7 6 22
8 Happy End 8 6 5 6 8 22
10 Suburbicon 5 5 5 10 10 20
11 Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project 10 8 3 9 6 19
12 mother! 9 7 8 5 15
13 Killing of a Sacred Deer, The 9 7 6
14 Brad’s Status 9 9 4
15 Dunkirk 8 3
16 Greatest Showman, The 9 2
17 Wonder Wheel 10 1
17 Wind River 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Baby Driver
Breathe
Hostiles
I, Tonya (possibly 2018)
Kings
Marshall
Mary Magdalene
Novitiate
Shape of Water, The
Tully
Under the Silver Lake
Untitled A. A. Milne biopic

 

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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  • Isabele Gomes

    Para o próximo Oscar de 2018,nas categorias de atores, ocorrerá algo inusitado,dos 5 indicados não terá nenhum americano,pelas minhas previsões serão: Kenneth Bragnath, Benedict Cumberbach,Daniel Day_Lewis,Tom Hardy e Gary Oldman.