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Home / Predictions / Film / Oscars / The Gold Rush Gang / 2018 Oscar Predictions / Frontrunner Friday: Wonderstruck on Top, Spielberg ‘Post’ Pic Uptick

Frontrunner Friday: Wonderstruck on Top, Spielberg ‘Post’ Pic Uptick

Wonderstruck, the new #1 Best Picture prediction for May, remains there for Frontrunner Friday and even gains two more points from last week. It’s set to premiere at Cannes in less than a week as the festival first In Competition film. As the only film at Cannes in our current top 10, the reviews coming from the festival will be crucial to deciding whether the film stays as the frontrunner or makes way for another contender.

That other contender could be Steven Spielberg’s Untitled Pentagon Papers Project (it was briefly called The Post and is filming under the name Nor’easter but is still officially untitled). With the current atmosphere of attack on the press by the Trump administration as well as the crumbling from within of that administration it might unavoidable that a film about exposing government secrets at the highest level is exactly what the Academy will go for. Who knows what the state of the government will even be in 10 months?

Former #1 Detroit continues to dip a bit, now landing at #3. In a very short time, well since the new trailer, Blade Runner 2049 bolts up the list and enters the top 10 this week. Get Out, which debuts on our Best Picture chart at #16 for May could find itself with a lot more votes next month. Universal is mounting an early and very real campaign for the film that they hope to ride through the rest of the year. With a 99% on Rotten Tomatoes and nearly $180M in the bank it would likely make it the best reviewed + best box office Best Picture nominee of the year if it makes it all the way.

Here is the current ranking for Best Picture for Friday, May 12, 2017. Follow updated predictions from The Gold Rush Gang here.

BEST PICTURE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Wonderstruck (Amazon – 10/20) 1 1 2 3 1 1 2 4 1 2 92
2 Untitled Steven Spielberg Pentagon Papers Project (20th Century Fox – 12/22) 3 2 5 1 6 3 3 1 3 5 78
3 Detroit (Annapurna – 8/4) 2 3 1 2 10 2 1 9 2 1 77
4 Darkest Hour (Focus Features – 11/24) 6 8 3 4 3 4 4 2 4 3 69
5 Dunkirk (Warner Bros – 7/21) 7 4 4 5 8 7 9 8 6 6 46
6 Lean on Pete (A24) 4 7 9 6 7 6 8 6 5 7 45
7 Blade Runner 2049 (Warner Bros – 10/6) 5 2 5 7 7 7 8 36
8 Inner City (Sony) (possibly 2018) 6 4 5 5 8 4 34
9 Call Me By Your Name (Sony Pictures Classics – 11/24) 5 5 9 3 10 10 24
10 Mudbound (Netflix) 8 7 8 6 15
11 Downsizing (Paramount – 12/22) 8 9 9 9 9
11 mother! (Paramount – 10/13) 6 7 9
13 Last Flag Flying (Amazon) 9 10 9 5
13 Suburbicon (Paramount 11/3) 10 10 8 5
15 Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight – 10/13) 9 10 3
16 Get Out (Universal – 2/24) 10 1
16 Greatest Showman, The (20th Century Fox – 12/25) 10 1
16 Happy End (Sony Pictures Classics) 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Aftermath, The (Fox Searchlight)
Beguiled, The (Focus Features – 6/23)
Breathe (Bleecker Street – 10/13)
Current War, The (The Weinstein Company – 12/22)
Disobedience (TBD)
Glass Castle, The (Lionsgate – 8/11)
Goodbye Christopher Robin (Fox Searchlight – 11/10)
Hostiles (TBD)
Killing of a Sacred Deer, The (A24 – 11/3)
Kings (TBD)
Leisure Seeker, The (Sony Pictures Classics)
Lost City of Z (Amazon – 4/14)
Marshall (Open Road Films – 10/13)
Mary Magdalene (The Weinstein Company – 11/24)
Molly’s Game (STX Entertainment)
Mountain Between Us, The (20th Century Fox – 10/20)
Murder on the Orient Express (20th Century Fox – 11/10)
Shape of Water, The (Fox Searchlight – 12/8)
Snowman, The (Universal – 10/13)
Stronger (Lionsgate/Roadside Attractions – 9/22)
Thank You For Your Service (Universal – 10/27)
Under the Silver Lake (A24)
Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project (Focus Features – 12/25)
Untouchable (The Weinstein Company)
Victoria and Abdul (Focus Features – 9/22)
Wind River (The Weinstein Company – 8/4)
Wonder Wheel (Amazon)
Wonder (Lionsgate – 11/17)

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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