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Golden Globe Winner Predictions from the Gold Rush Gang

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If you’ve listened to today’s podcast then you might already know my Golden Globe winner predictions (and alternates), as well as fellow Gold Rush Gang members Peter and Matt M. Here are our predictions, in list form, along with a couple of other gang members, David and Alexander.

It seems there is quite a bit of alignment in the winner predictions, with all of us in agreement seeing Boyhood winning Motion Picture – Drama, Director for Richard Linklater and Supporting Actress for Patricia Arquette. We’re seeing Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything) and Julianne Moore (Still Alice) triumphing in the Drama acting categories and Birdman winning Motion Picture – Comedy/Musical.

Can Julianne Moore win BOTH Golden Globes on Sunday? While we all feel secure she’s winning the Drama Globe, only I have her even as an alternate for the Comedy/Musical Globe for her turn as a pampered, faded Hollywood starlet in Maps to the Stars. The Globes haven’t shied away from double wins in the Motion Picture category before; Kate Winslet won Lead and Supporting (for Revolutionary Road and The Reader, respectively) in 2009.

Speaking of the Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama) category, although we all think Moore is winning this pretty handily, the amount of press Jennifer Aniston has gotten lately, both negative and positive, is proving to be a real threat for some predictors. Many folks have Aniston as an alternate but could she really win? What kind of precedent would there be for a performance in a film as poorly reviewed as Cake to win? The two most notable, and most notorious, cases of questionable wins at the Globes have been Sharon Stone’s triumph over Susan Sarandon in 1996 for Casino, for which Stone lavished expensive gifts on the HFPA (just listen to the audience response to her win and her own admission of it being “a miracle”) and Pia Zadora’s 1982 win for Butterfly, which many have considered a bought win by her now ex-husband. Casino has the advantage of being a well-reviewed film and Stone’s performance was also highly regarded and earned her an Academy Award nomination. Butterfly was not so lucky; it received 10 Razzie Award nominations (the counter to the Oscars, “rewarding” the year’s worst films), including two wins for Zadora. It remains to be seen if Aniston’s superbly executed grassroots campaign (along with her producer/distributor Cinelou) pays off for her on Sunday but I know one thing, if it does we’ll be seeing a return to some shady Golden Globe dealings again, a reputation they’ve been trying to shed for quite a few years now.

The Golden Globe Awards will be held this Sunday, January 11th and hosted once again by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler. Don’t forget to check out our live tweeting that day at @awards_watch!

ERIK ANDERSON

Best Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Boyhood
Alternate: Selma

Best Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Birdman
Alternate: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Alternate: Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Alternate: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Alternate: Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
Alternate: Julianne Moore, Maps to the Stars

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Alternate: Edward Norton, Birdman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Alternate: Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Best Director
Winner: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Alternate: Ava DuVernay, Selma

Best Screenplay
Winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alternate: Boyhood

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner: The LEGO Movie
Alternate: Big Hero 6

Best Foreign Language Film
Winner: Ida
Alternate: Force Majeure

Best Original Score
Winner: The Theory of Everything
Alternate: The Imitation Game

Best Original Song
Winner: “Glory,” Selma
Alternate: “Big Eyes,” Big Eyes

PETER CIOTH

Best Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Boyhood
Alternate: The Imitation Game

Best Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Birdman
Alternate: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Alternate: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Alternate: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Alternate: Jennifer Aniston, Cake

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Emily Blunt, Into The Woods
Alternate: Amy Adams, Big Eyes

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Alternate: Edward Norton, Birdman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Alternate: Emma Stone, Birdman

Best Director
Winner: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Alternate: Ava DuVernay, Selma

Best Screenplay
Winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alternate: Birdman

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner: The LEGO Movie
Alternate: Big Hero 6

Best Foreign Language Film
Winner: Ida
Alternate: Force Majeure

Best Original Score
Winner: The Theory of Everything
Alternate: The Imitation Game

Best Original Song
Winner: ” Glory,” Selma
Alternate: ” Yellow Flicker Beat,” The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1

MATTHEW MARK

Best Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Boyhood
Alternate: Selma

Best Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Birdman
Alternate: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Alternate: Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Alternate: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Alternate: Jennifer Aniston, Cake

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Emily Blunt, Into the Woods
Alternate: Amy Adams, Big Eyes

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: Edward Norton, Birdman
Alternate: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Alternate: Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Best Director
Winner: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Alternate: Ava DuVernay, Selma

Best Screenplay
Winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alternate: Gone Girl

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner: The LEGO Movie
Alternate: How to Train Your Dragon 2

Best Foreign Language Film
Winner: Ida
Alternate: Force Majeure

Best Original Score
Winner: The Imitation Game
Alternate: Birdman

Best Original Song
Winner: “Glory,” Selma
Alternate: “Big Eyes,” Big Eyes

DAVID MINKA

Best Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Boyhood
Alternate: The Imitation Game

Best Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Birdman
Alternate: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Alternate: Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Alternate: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Alternate: Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Amy Adams, Big Eyes
Alternate: Emily Blunt, Into The Woods

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: J.K.Simmons, Whiplash
Alternate: Edward Norton, Birdman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Alternate: Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Best Director
Winner: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Alternate: Alejandro G. Iñárritu, Birdman

Best Screenplay
Winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alternate: The Imitation Game

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner: The LEGO Movie
Alternate: The Boxtrolls

Best Foreign Language Film
Winner: Ida
Alternate: Force Majeure

Best Original Score
Winner: The Imitation Game
Alternate: The Theory of Everything

Best Original Song
Winner: “Big Eyes,” Big Eyes
Alternate: “Glory,” Selma

ALEXANDER KNECHT

Best Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Boyhood
Alternate: Selma

Best Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Birdman
Alternate: The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory Of Everything
Alternate: David Oyelowo, Selma

Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Michael Keaton, Birdman
Alternate: Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Drama)
Winner: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Alternate: Reese Witherspoon, Wild

Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture (Comedy/Musical)
Winner: Emily Blunt, Into The Woods
Alternate: Amy Adams, Big Eyes

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Alternate: Edward Norton, Birdman

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture
Winner: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Alternate: Meryl Streep, Into the Woods

Best Director
Winner: Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Alternate: Ava DuVernay, Selma

Best Screenplay
Winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Alternate: Birdman

Best Animated Feature Film
Winner: The LEGO Movie
Alternate: How To Train Your Dragon 2

Best Foreign Language Film
Winner: Ida
Alternate: Force Majeure

Best Original Score
Winner: The Imitation Game
Alternate: Gone Girl

Best Original Song
Winner: “Glory,” Selma
Alternate: “Mercy Is,” Noah

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.