Zero Dark Thirty
Amour (Michael Haneke)
Arbitrage (Nicholas Jarecki)
Django Unchained (Quentin Tarantino)
Flight (John Gatins)
The Impossible (Sergio G. Sanchez)
The Intouchables (Olivier Nakache & Eric Toledano)
Looper (Rian Johnson)
Moonrise Kingdom (Wes Anderson, Roman Coppola)
The Master (Paul Thomas Anderson)
Promised Land (Matt Damon, John Krasinksi, Dave Eggers)
Seven Psychopaths (Martin McDonagh)
Zero Dark Thirty (Mark Boal)
Zero Dark Thirty
Having just seen Intouchables, they won't actually be stupid enough to bite will they? This branch is more intelligent than that.
I guess Flight really might be the best bet for the last slot, although that also seems strange. It did actually get pretty good reviews and there's definitely a campaign for it, so perhaps personal bias is making it seem less likely to me?
I feel like there's a very good chance of an indie surprising here, though. I'm wondering about Martin McDonagh for Seven Psychopaths. They nominated from for In Bruges even though that film got mediocre reviews and did poorly at the box office. The plot in Seven Psychopaths centers around a struggling Los Angeles screenwriter, which could be like catnip for the branch LOL.
If that happens (and the other 4 likely nominees also happen) it would mean all of the nominees in the category are previous nominees, which seems to be happening in almost every major category this year. This is such a strange year. Everything seems so easily predictable and yet every category only has 2 or 3 nominees that can actually be considered totally safe? Which is actually a good thing for the race being more exciting, yet at the same time it doesn't feel like there are actually many contenders in any category (like Best Actor...it's obvious that there are probably only 6 contenders and the question is only which one will miss).
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I seriously doubt Seven Psychopaths gets in. It has shown up precisely nowhere, and doesn't really have that much buzz. Flight....I'm really rooting against because it's kind of sloppy/weirdly structured, and the last scene is abysmal.
I know it's kinda funny but what about Cabin in the Woods? The movie itself got some critics mentions and is very well recived.
The WGA Award noms have been announced. Our usual suspects of Anderson, 'Andoppola' (Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola) and Boal are in the line-up for Original Screenplay along with NBR winner Rian Johnson for 'Looper' and John Gatlin for 'Flight'. However we may be seeing a very different picture come Oscar time (with some candidates here being exchanged for others)...
So......does all of this Washington outrage help or hurt Mark Boal? I can actually see Tarantino winning this.
Great. Now who's going to watch Sunday Rose on SAG night??
If Moonrise gets into BP I can see Anderson and Coppola pulling it off. Fingers crossed!
I currently am predicting a win for Anderson and Coppola...
I don't think Moonrise can upset here, even if it gets into Best Picture. It's not like Django or ZDT won't be Best PIcture nominees in their own right.
"I shall immediately after I'm done watching Homeland." - DirkDiggler on his voting priorities
Arbitrage, The Intouchables, Middle of Nowhere are possibilities, although I honestly would never predict something like that. I'm really hoping Amour kicks out Looper though.
The man who leaves and the man who comes back are not the same.
I'm scared The Intouchables is going to show up here.
IDK about The Intouchables (haven't seen it), but i'll be dissapointed if Flight makes it. Especially over Amour.
82% on RT isn't exactly mediocre. But I can see the comparison to Seven Psychopaths. Reviews and box office are very similar. But 'In Bruges' was released a lot earlier in the year and had a lot of precursor support, including a slew of BAFTA nods and a Golden Globe with for Colin Farrell. Seven Psychopaths seems to have gotten lost amongst all the other movies opening around it. There was a minor amount of buzz upon release, but was soon dispersed once the big names and more anticipated movies started gaining traction. Most people have probably forgotten about it and the lack of WGA nod despite other contenders being ineligible means it's just not going to happen.
But would be a nice surprise if it did!