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2019 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (May) – ‘BlacKkKlansman,’ on top, ‘A Quiet Place’ debuts

Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman moves up the #1 spot this month after its Cannes-winning debut. It leapfrogs over the Barry Jenkins adaptation of James Baldwin’s If Beale Street Could Talk and last month’s champ, Widows from Steve McQueen.

Can You Ever Forgive Me? and First Man hold their spots in the top 5 but below that is movement up for Beautiful Boy to enter the main chart, dropping Crazy Rich Asians to Next Up. Speaking of that section, it’s jammed with hopefuls and possibles looking for a top 10 berth. The Incredibles 2 is in the running (the first one earned an Oscar nomination), the Robert Redford-led The Old Man and the Gun, A Star Is Born (whose star is rising across the board) and Where’d You Go, Bernadette with Cate Blanchett.

Here are my predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay as of May 25, 2018.

Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut

1. BlacKkKlansman
2. Widows
3. If Beale Street Could Talk
4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. First Man
6. Mary Queen of Scots
7. Boy Erased
8. Beautiful Boy
9. Untitled Pippa Bianco aka Share
10. Black Panther


Crazy Rich Asians
The Incredibles 2
The Old Man and the Gun
A Star is Born
Where’d You Go, Bernadette


The Aftermath
Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot
Fighting with My Family
The Front Runner
Gloria Bell
Leave No Trace
Lean on Pete
The Little Stranger
The Man Who Killed Don Quixote
Mary Poppins Returns
The Mercy
The Sisters Brothers
The True History of the Kelly Gang
Vita and Virginia
The White Crow
The Wife
The Women of Marwen

A Quiet Place makes a huge debut into the top 5 this month. Genre films can have a hard time with the Oscars but between the massive box office success and 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, John Krasinski’s horror hit stands an excellent chance at breaking in. The rest of the top 5 stays in place for now.

Below that, Oscar nominee Yorgos Lanthimos’s period piece The Favourite moves up, Ad Astra falls and Oscar nominee Jonah Hill’s first directorial effort, Mid 90s, debuts at #9. Next up features a wealth of potential including new efforts from previous Oscar winners like Diablo Cody (with Tully this year) and Oscar nominee Benh Zeitlin (with Wendy).

Here are my predictions for Best Original Screenplay as of May 25, 2018.

Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut

1. Backseat
2. Roma
3. Peterloo
4. A Quiet Place
5. Destroyer
6. The Favourite
7. Eighth Grade
8. Ad Astra
9. Mid 90s
10. Hereditary


Fast Color
Green Book
On the Basis of Sex


Bad Times at the El Royale
Ben is Back
Bohemian Rhapsody
Come Sunday
Everybody Knows
The Happy Prince
Hearts Beat Loud
High Life
The Hummingbird Project
Isle of Dogs
The Nightingale
Operation Finale
What They Had

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (May)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (May)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (May)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (MAY)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (May)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (May)

About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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