2019/2020 Critics Choice + Golden Globe + SAG + BAFTA: The Holy Quartet

Every year I compile the lists and combinations of the major precursors bagged by potential Oscar nominees and this year is no different. Critics Choice, Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild and BAFTA can all align to get a performance all the way to the Oscars.

But sometimes an actor with this seemingly safe holy quartet gets can still find themselves locked out of that final step and clinch that Oscar nod as Tilda Swinton (We Need to Talk About Kevin), Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips), Amy Adams (Arrival) and Timothée Chalamet (Beautiful Boy) can tell you. BAFTA still has to weigh in here (and I’ll add those here when they do on January 7th) and then we can really see the true story taking shape.

Oscar nomination voting begins on January 2nd and lasts until January 7th, a mere five days to watch and absorb dozens of films and performances. Voters will have just two days after the Golden Globes to impact their decision and just hours after BAFTA announces their nominations. While some of these races seem to have some pretty locked in contenders, most are still looking for that 4th and/or 5th spot to complete the final five.

Let’s see who has what in this race to the Dolby.

At the moment, Best Actor has three who have made all precursors: Adam Driver in Marriage Story, Joaquin Phoenix in Joker and Leonardo DiCaprio in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood. Taron Egerton (Rocketman) has SAG, the Globe (a win) and BAFTA. Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory) and Eddie Murphy (Dolemite Is My Name) have Critics Choice and the Golden Globe; Christian Bale (Ford v Ferrari) has the Globe and SAG. Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes) has the Globe and BAFTA.

CRITICS CHOICE	GOLDEN GLOBE	SAG	BAFTA	OSCAR
Adam Driver, Marriage Story	Adam Driver, Marriage Story	Adam Driver, Marriage Story	Adam Driver, Marriage Story	Adam Driver, Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix, Joker	Joaquin Phoenix, Joker (win)	Joaquin Phoenix, Joker	Joaquin Phoenix, Joker	Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
——————	——————	——————	——————	——————
Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory	Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory			Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory
Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name	Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name
	Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari	Christian Bale, Ford v Ferrari
	Taron Egerton, Rocketman (win)	Taron Egerton, Rocketman	Taron Egerton, Rocketman
Robert De Niro, The Irishman
Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems	Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes		Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes	Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
	Daniel Craig, Knives Out
	Roman Griffin Davis, Jojo Rabbit

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We have three in Best Actress who have received all precursors: Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story), Charlize Theron (Bombshell) and Renée Zellweger (Judy). Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) has three, missing BAFTA. Awkwafina (The Farewell) has Critics Choice and the Globe (a win), Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) has Globe and BAFTA, while Lupita Nyong’o (Us) has Critics Choice and SAG.

CRITICS CHOICE	GOLDEN GLOBE	SAG	BAFTA	OSCAR
Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story	Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story	Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story	Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story	Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
Charlize Theron, Bombshell	Charlize Theron, Bombshell	Charlize Theron, Bombshell	Charlize Theron, Bombshell	Charlize Theron, Bombshell
Renée Zellweger, Judy	Renée Zellweger, Judy (win)	Renée Zellweger, Judy	Renée Zellweger, Judy	Renée Zellweger, Judy
—————–	———————-	—————–	—————–	—————–
Cynthia Erivo, Harriet	Cynthia Erivo, Harriet	Cynthia Erivo, Harriet		Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
Awkwafina, The Farewell	Awkwafina, The Farewell (win)
Lupita Nyong’o, Us		Lupita Nyong’o, Us
Saoirse Ronan, Little Women	Saoirse Ronan, Little Women		Saoirse Ronan, Little Women	Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
	Ana de Armas, Knives Out		Jessie Buckley, Wild Rose
	Beanie Feldstein, Booksmart
	Emma Thompson, Late Night
	Cate Blanchett, Where’d You Go, Bernadette

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A nearly deadlocked category, Supporting Actor has four who have gotten all precursors so far: Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood), Al Pacino and Joe Pesci (both for The Irishman) and Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood). Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes) has Critics Choice, the Globe and BAFTA.

CRITICS CHOICE	GOLDEN GLOBE	SAG	BAFTA	OSCAR
Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
Al Pacino, The Irishman	Al Pacino, The Irishman	Al Pacino, The Irishman	Al Pacino, The Irishman	Al Pacino, The Irishman
Joe Pesci, The Irishman	Joe Pesci, The Irishman	Joe Pesci, The Irishman	Joe Pesci, The Irishman	Joe Pesci, The Irishman
Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (win)	Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood	Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
——————	——————	——————	——————	——————
Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes	Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes		Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes	Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
		Jamie Foxx, Just Mercy
Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse

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With Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers) missing BAFTA, Supporting Actress has just two locks with Laura Dern (Marriage Story) and Margot Robbie (Bombshell) and then it gets really interesting. Lopez should be fine, BAFTA went for Scarlett Johansson in Jojo Rabbit so she has that and SAG now but no other actress has more than one of either Critics Choice, the Golden Globe, SAG or BAFTA. BAFTA gave Robbie a second nomination here for Once, something not allowed at the Oscars.

CRITICS CHOICE	GOLDEN GLOBE	SAG	BAFTA	OSCAR
Laura Dern, Marriage Story	Laura Dern, Marriage Story (win)	Laura Dern, Marriage Story	Laura Dern, Marriage Story	Laura Dern, Marriage Story
Margot Robbie, Bombshell	Margot Robbie, Bombshell	Margot Robbie, Bombshell	Margot Robbie, Bombshell	Margot Robbie, Bombshell
—————-	———————	——————	——————	——————
Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers	Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers	Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers
		Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit	Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit	Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell	Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell	Nicole Kidman, Bombshell		Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
	Annette Bening, The Report
			Florence Pugh, Little Women
			Margot Robbie, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood