2019 BAFTA predictions: expect big numbers for ‘The Favourite’

BAFTA nominations will be announced at 7:25am GMT – that’s 11:25pm and 2:25am for the west and east coast of the US, respectively.

I fully expect The Favourite to clear double digits and be the nomination leader. I’m predicting 13, hitting nearly every category save Sound, Special Visual Effects and Music. I think Nicholas Hoult could sneak in here and I’m predicting he will over Timothée Chalamet in Beautiful Boy. But then, it could just as easily be Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) or Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born) that he bumps.

It’s also inevitable that BAFTA will go radio gaga over Bohemian Rhapsody, giving the film even more momentum after its Golden Globe win on Sunday and Oscar nomination voting beginning yesterday. Although I don’t think they’d go as far as to nominate disgraced director Bryan Singer, I’m not completely counting it out. I think the film will hit at least nine categories, including Best Film and most of the techs. If there’s a surprise nom out of (besides Singer, obviously), Lucy Boynton might shock and bump someone major out.

Other surprise nominations could come from Jonathan Pryce (The Wife) in Supporting Actor or Pawel Pawlikowski (Cold War) in Best Director. I’m really torn on what to do with Vice and Green Book. Green Book feels like a super basic and palatable nominee for BAFTA and might be a bigger competitor were it not for Bohemian Rhapsody taking both the basic flag and the homegrown hero one.

It feels crazy to predict John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman) when you consider that his father, Denzel Washington, has never been nominated by BAFTA. Ever. Not even for his Oscar-winning roles. It would be wild to see his son get in first but, in reality, BlacKkKlansman is a much stronger film overall than most of the elder Washington’s efforts. If JDW misses, and he very well could, it’s likely to be for Joaquin Phoenix in You Were Never Really Here.

Here are my predictions for the 2019 EE British Film Academy Awards. Check back tonight for the nominations.

Best Film
Bohemian Rhapsody
BlacKkKlansman
The Favourite
Roma
A Star Is Born

Best Director
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Alfonso Cuarón, Roma
Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite
Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
Lynne Ramsay, You Were Never Really Here

Leading Actor
Christian Bale, Vice
Bradley Cooper, A Star Is Born
Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody
Viggo Mortensen, Green Book
John David Washington, BlacKkKlansman

Leading Actress
Emily Blunt, Mary Poppins Returns
Glenn Close, The Wife
Olivia Colman, The Favourite
Lady Gaga, A Star Is Born
Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Green Book
Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman
Sam Elliott, A Star Is Born
Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
Nicholas Hoult, The Favourite

Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, Vice
Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk
Claire Foy, First Man
Emma Stone, The Favourite
Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

Original Screenplay
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Green Book
Roma
Vice

Adapted Screenplay
BlacKkKlansman
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
If Beale Street Could Talk
A Star Is Born
You Were Never Really Here

Outstanding British Film
American Animals
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
The Happy Prince
You Were Never Really Here

Original Music
Black Panther
First Man
If Beale Street Could Talk
Isle of Dogs
Mary Poppins Returns

Editing
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
The Favourite
A Star Is Born
Roma

Cinematography
Cold War
The Favourite
First Man
A Star Is Born
Roma

Production Design
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns

Costume Design
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Mary Poppins Returns
Mary Queen of Scots

Makeup and Hair
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
The Favourite
Stan & Ollie
Vice

Sound
Black Panther
Bohemian Rhapsody
First Man
A Quiet Place
A Star Is Born

Special Visual Effects
Avengers: Infinity War
Black Panther
First Man
Mary Poppins Returns
Ready Player One