Sun. Oct 13th, 2019

2019 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (April) – ‘Widows’ Moves Up, ‘Cheney’ Remains

Steve McQueen, Widows

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As in Best Picture and Best Director, Widows replaces BlacKkKlansman for the #1 spot this month in Adapted Screenplay. The Spike Lee film, which will make its debut at the Cannes Film Festival next month, dips just a bit to #3. Barry Jenkins’s adaptation of James Baldwin’s If Beale Street Could Talk moves up to #2.

This year is the opposite of last year with a wealth of contenders vying for a spot. Outside the top 10 we also have potential contenders in Beautiful Boy, The Front Runner, Old Man and the Gun, The Sisters Brothers, Where’d You Go Bernadette, Wildlife and The Women of Marwen.

Here are my predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay as of April 19, 2018.

1. Widows
2. If Beale Street Could Talk
3. BlacKkKlansman
4. Can You Ever Forgive Me?
5. First Man
6. Mary Queen of Scots
7. Boy Erased
8. Untitled Pippa Bianco aka Share
9. Crazy Rich Asians
10. Black Panther
The Aftermath
Beautiful Boy
The Catcher Was a Spy
Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot
Fighting with My Family
The Front Runner
The Incredibles 2
Leave No Trace
Lean on Pete
The Little Stranger
The Man Who Killed Don Quixote
Mary Poppins Returns
The Mercy
Old Man and the Gun
The Sisters Brothers
A Star is Born
The True History of the Kelly Gang
Vita and Virginia
Where’d You Go, Bernadette
The White Crow
The Wife
The Women of Marwen
Adam McKay, Untitled Dick Cheney biopic

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No changes in Original Screenplay this month. Adam McKay’s Dick Cheney biopic feels like a very strong frontrunner. It also stands the best chance at Best Picture, Director and multiple acting nominations within this top 10. Unlike last year, which saw all five eventual Oscar nominees coming from Best Picture nominees, this year’s crop feels a bit more eclectic. Probably why I’ve stuck with a top 5 that feels likely to hit in some above the line categories.

Looking to the Other Contenders list we could see Mid 90s, The Hummingbird Project, A Quiet Place or Tully break in.

Here are my predictions for Best Original Screenplay as of April 19, 2018.

1. Untitled Dick Cheney biopic
2. Roma
3. Ad Astra
4. Peterloo
5. Destroyer
6. Fast Color
7. Eighth Grade
8. Isle of Dogs
9. The Favourite
10. Hereditary
Bad Times at the El Royale
Ben is Back
Bohemian Rhapsody
Come Sunday
Everybody Knows
Green Book
The Happy Prince
Hearts Beat Loud
High Life
The Hummingbird Project
Mid 90s
The Nightingale
On the Basis of Sex
Operation Finale
A Quiet Place
What They Had

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (April)

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (April)

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