Home / Predictions / Film / FINAL Oscar Predictions: ANIMATED, DOCUMENTARY and LIVE-ACTION SHORT


From left; Bao, End Game and Marguerite

There’s a wealth of sadness, depravity and dreariness in many of the nominees in the short film categories with a few rays of light that I think voters will try and grab onto.

In Animated Short I don’t see how Bao can lose. But if anything upsets it will likely be One Small Step. Documentary Short is a stellar lineup that includes previous Oscar winners and a film backed by the premier awards strategist in the game, Lisa Taback. The refugee crisis, racism in the UK and a found video of a Nazi rally at Madison Square Garden are also contenders here. I can see almost any of them win. Live-Action Short is exhaustively caustic and I think voters will gravitate to the only one that offers something different.


1. BAO – Domee Shi
2. ONE SMALL STEP – Andrew Chesworth, Bobby Pontillas
3. LATE AFTERNOON – Louise Bagnall
4. WEEKENDS – Trevor Jimenez
5. ANIMAL BEHAVIOUR – Alison Snowden, David Fine


1. END GAME – Rob Epstein, Jeffrey Friedman
2. PERIOD. END OF SENTENCE. – Rayka Zehtabchi
3. BLACK SHEEP – Ed Perkins
4. LIFEBOAT – Skye Fitzgerald
5. A NIGHT IN THE GARDEN – Marshall Curry


1. MARGUERITE – Marianne Farley
2. FAUVE – Jeremy Comte
3. SKIN – Guy Nattiv
4. MOTHER – Rodrigo Sorogoyen
5. DETAINMENT – Vincent Lambe

About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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