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FINAL 2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR

Bohemian Rhapsody (20th Century Fox)

Like Supporting Actor, the frontrunner in Best Actor has also jumped hurdles and through hoops to avoid the pitfalls of his problematic film to come out largely unscathed.

Back in the early fall there wasn’t much reason to think that Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody) would make too big a splash other than maybe having some decent box office. Little did most of us know that the Queen bio film was going to be an $850M worldwide smash. The largely savage critical response definitely tricked me to put Malek’s Freddie Mercury, and the film, on the lower end of predictions for too long (to my own detriment) and even the controversy over fired director Bryan Singer’s continued sexual assault allegations hasn’t stopped the film from multiple earning guild wins, five Oscar nominations including Best Picture and Malek the Golden Globe, SAG and BAFTA Best Actor prizes.

It’s doubtful Christian Bale (Vice) can present any real chance of an upset, despite his film’s across the board nomination support. Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born) should have been able to be an actual contender but fumbled his own campaign in hopes of a Best Director nomination that didn’t even transpire. Plus, the Oscars love biopics and real-life characters, even when they sidestep facts for fiction at nearly every opportunity.

1. Rami Malek – BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY (BAFTA, GG, SAG)
2. Christian Bale – VICE (BFCA, GG)
3. Bradley Cooper – A STAR IS BORN
4. Viggo Mortensen – GREEN BOOK
5. Willem Dafoe – AT ETERNITY’S GATE
BAFTA – British Film Academy Awards
BFCA – Broadcast Film Critics Association (Critics Choice)
GG – Golden Globe
SAG – Screen Actors Guild

About Erik Anderson

Erik thanks his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards together since he was in the single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics), the International Press Academy and is the founder/owner of AwardsWatch.

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