2027 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (June)

Jeremy Strong caused quite a bit of ruckus when the first trailer for The Social Reckoning arrived last week, portraying Facebook billionaire Mark Zuckerberg. Taking over the reins from Oscar nominee Jesse Eisenberg, who played Zuckerberg in 2010’s Oscar-winning The Social Network, about the creation of Facebook, Strong’s impersonation feels more in line to his Roy Cohn in 2024’s The Apprentice, which earned him his first Oscar nomination, in this category, no less. Even if the film’s awards fate is less than its predecessor (and there’s pretty much a 100% chance it will be), Strong feels like the one element to eke it out.

I’m still holding off on some TBD titles like Cry to Heaven, the long-awaited directorial return of Tom Ford (A Single Man, Nocturnal Animals), which could factor into the race once it has a festival debut (likely Venice) and a pick up. Elsewhere, speaking of Jesse Eisenberg, his newest film now has a title: The Debut. The A24-distributed musical comedy stars Julianne Moore and Paul Giamatti.

La bola negra features a triptych of stories and essentially has three ‘leads’ for each of them, but I think that Netflix will position pop star Guitarricadelafuente in lead and push Carlos González and Milo Quifes here in supporting, alongside Miguel Bernardeau.

Here are my 2027 Oscar nomination predictions in Supporting Actor for June.

Next up: Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – Untitled Cliff Booth Movie (Netflix) ⬆, Will Arnett – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures) ⬆, Jamie Bell – The Uprising (Focus Features), Miguel Bernardeau – La bola negra (The Black Ball) (Netflix) NEW, Steve Buscemi – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures) ⬇, Matt Dillon – I Play Rocky (Amazon MGM Studios), *Carlos González – La bola negra (The Black Ball) (Netflix) NEW, George Mackay – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features), Charles Melton – Saturn Return (Netflix) ⬇, Peter Mullan – I Swear (Sony Pictures Classic), James Ortiz – Project Hail Mary (Amazon MGM Studios), Robert Pattinson – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures), *Milo Quifes – La bola Negra (The Black Ball) (Netflix) NEW

*Lead or Supporting? Adam Driver – Paper Tiger (NEON), Carlos González – La bola negra (The Black Ball) (Netlfix), Milo Quifes – La bola negra (The Black Ball) (Netflix), Miles Teller – Paper Tiger (NEON)

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – Untitled Cliff Booth Movie (Netflix)

Yahya Abdul-Mateen II – By Any Means (Paramount Pictures)

Riz Ahmed – Digger (Warner Bros)

Will Arnett – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures)

Mamoudou Athie – The Drama (A24)

Antonio Banderas – Tony (A24)

Murray Bartlett – Place to Be (TBD)

Malachi Beasley – Fight for 84 (Netflix)

Jamie Bell – The Uprising (Focus Features)

Adam Bessa – Parallel Tales (TBD)

Bastien Bouillon – The Birthday Party (TBD)

Josh Brolin – The Dog Stars (20th Century Studios)

Steve Buscemi – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures)

Vincent Cassel – Parallel Tales (TBD)

Kit Connor – A Long Winter (TBD)

Joel Coe – Queen of Fashion (TBD)

Steve Coogan – Love Is Not the Answer (TBD)

Owen Cooper – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Tom Courtenay – Queen at Sea (Greenwich Entertainment)

Willem Dafoe – Tenzing (Apple Original Films)

Paul Dano – Bunker (TBD)

Dane DeHaan – Queen of Fashion (TBD)

August Diehl – Fatherland (MUBI) ⬇

August Diehl – The Rays and Shadows (TBD)

Frank Dillane – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features)

Matt Dillon – I Play Rocky (Amazon MGM Studios)

Colman Domingo – Disclosure Day (Universal Studios)

Colman Domingo – Michael (Lionsgate)

Jamie Dornan – Love Is Not the Answer (TBD)

*Adam Driver – Paper Tiger (NEON)

Alejandro Edda – Ha-Chan, Shake Your Booty! (NEON)

Giancarlo Esposito – By Any Means (Paramount Pictures)

Giancarlo Esposito – The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Pictures Classics)

Spike Fern – Sweetsick (Searchlight Pictures)

Colin Firth – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Colin Firth – Disclosure Day (Universal Pictures)

Paul Giamatti – The Debut (A24)

Tony Goldwyn – Billion Dollar Spy (Lionsgate)

*Carlos González – La bola negra (The Black Ball) (Netlfix)

John Goodman – Digger (Warner Bros)

Stephen Graham – Bunker (TBD)

Richard E. Grant – Queen of Fashion (TBD)

William Jackson Harper – The Life and Deaths of Wilson Shedd (TBD)

Lucas Hedges – Love Is Not the Answer (TBD)

Tom Hiddleston – Tenzing (Apple Original Films)

Ciaran Hinds – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Tom Holland – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures)

Tom Hollander – The Uprising (Focus Features)

Nicholas Hoult – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Stephan James – I Play Rocky (Amazon MGM Studios)

Cosmo Jarvis – The Uprising (Focus Features)

Paul Jensson – Untitled Mike Leigh Film (Bleecker Street)

Toheeb Jimoh – Clarissa (NEON)

Laurent Laffite – The Duchess and I (TBD)

Harry Lawtey – Billion Dollar Spy (Lionsgate)

Damian Lewis – Jack of Spades (TBD)

George Mackay – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features)

Benoit Magimel – The Birthday Party (TBD)

Billy Magnussen – The Social Reckoning (Sony Pictures/Columbia)

Daryl McCormick – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Charles Melton – Saturn Return (Netflix)

Ebon Moss-Bachrach – A Long Winter (TBD)

Ebon Moss-Bachrach – The Man I Love (TBD)

Peter Mullan – I Swear (Sony Pictures Classic)

Woody Norman – The Uprising (TBD)

Edward Norton – The Invite (A24)

James Ortiz – Project Hail Mary (Amazon MGM Studios)

David Oyelowo – Clarissa (NEON)

Robert Pattinson – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures)

Guy Pearce – The Dog Stars (FOX)

Theodore Pellerin – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Vincent Perez – Queen of Fashion (TBD)

Jesse Plemons – Digger (Warner Bros)

Will Poulter – Saturn Return (Netflix)

*Milo Quifes – La bola negra (The Black Ball) (Netflix)

Édgar Ramírez – Place to Be (TBD)

Sam Rockwell – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures)

Mark Ruffalo – Being Heumann (Apple Original Films)

Mark Ruffalo – Good Sex (Netflix)

Colton Ryan – The Debut (A24)

Niels Schneider – The Unknown (NEON)

Andrew Scott – A Place in Hell (NEON)

Michael Sheen – The Last Disturbance of Madeline Hynde (TBD)

Alexander Skarsgård – Wicker (Black Bear)

Bill Skarsgård – The Death of Robin Hood (A24)

Sul Kyung-gu – Possible Love (Netflix)

Tom Sturridge – The Man I Love (TBD)

Jeremy Strong – The Social Reckoning (Sony Pictures/Columbia)

Channing Tatum – Josephine (Summerian Films)

Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Cry to Heaven (TBD)

Miles Teller – Michael (Lionsgate)

*Miles Teller – Paper Tiger (NEON)

Tramell Tillman – Good Sex (Netflix)

Stanley Tucci – The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century Studios)

Mark Wahlberg – By Any Means (Paramount Pictures)

Lambert Wilson – The Duchess and I (TBD)

D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai – A Long Winter (TBD)

Zo In-sung – Possible Love (Netflix)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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