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Thread: 2019 Emmy Predictions: One month out!

  1. #121
    Senior Member Daenys's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jb View Post
    I can't tell if Gavin Leatherwood legit thought the nominations were out, or if he was just surprised he was even submitted?

    I think it's the first one, lmaoooo.

  2. #122
    Member Artimus's Avatar
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    Does O'Hara stand any chance at landing a nom? Or is it just too crowded with too many indie candidates like Lyonne and PWB?

  3. #123
    i can't help you with that benutty's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vektor View Post
    Russian Doll might be closer to getting a Comedy Series nom than GLOW.
    it has been

    Quote Originally Posted by jb View Post
    I can't tell if Gavin Leatherwood legit thought the nominations were out, or if he was just surprised he was even submitted?

    oh my god this is so embar

  4. #124
    Senior Member Bee's Avatar
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    Why would the fanpage even set that tweet up as if he was nominated? Bait.


    Remember, love is what brought you here...

  5. #125
    Senior Member buttercreme's Avatar
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    oh dear

  6. #126
    OKJAke Gyllenhaal erikdean's Avatar
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    That is fucking embarrassing.



  7. #127
    Cor Cordium Eduardo Zuckerberg's Avatar
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    I Will Not Be Ignored, Oscar!

  8. #128
    Senior Member Odette's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by jb View Post
    I can't tell if Gavin Leatherwood legit thought the nominations were out, or if he was just surprised he was even submitted?


    OMG

  9. #129
    What a happy day it is! Elliott?'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Artimus View Post
    Does O'Hara stand any chance at landing a nom? Or is it just too crowded with too many indie candidates like Lyonne and PWB?
    I want it to happen so, so badly. I almost wonder if she'd be better off if they pushed her in Supporting.

  10. #130
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    Quote Originally Posted by Elliott? View Post
    I want it to happen so, so badly. I almost wonder if she'd be better off if they pushed her in Supporting.
    She would have had a good chance at the win in Supporting in hindsight. They are campaigning hard for her recently.

  11. #131
    Bored Awards Obsessive The Dark Poet's Avatar
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    Yep, Legend Cathy O. could've won Supporting so damn easily and its not like she would've been massive category fraud this season anyway


    In the lea of a picturesque city lies a large, pretentious theatre, one that pampers its nominees like its own bebÍs.
    Hi! I'm Catherine O'Hara, and if you like deserving Emmy nominees as much as I do, then you'll appreciate the craftsmanship and quality of a local actress who brings the sarcastic goodness to every line delivery and the delicious camp to her exuberant performance.
    Come see the difference good writing can make on your television.
    You'll remember the experience, and you'll remember the name:
    Chantelle Orteez. Catherine Torreez. Capsicum Tayzlor. Curd Harrison. Christina O'Malley. Catriona Orphanage. Cruz Hargision.

  12. #132
    OKJAke Gyllenhaal erikdean's Avatar
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  13. #133
    Senior Member buttercreme's Avatar
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    the new Screentalk Emmy podcast is painfully awkward
    Anne Thompson swore up and down that the GoT ladies are all in the same category. they haven't been for years now.

  14. #134
    Senior Member thepatrickk's Avatar
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    I wish I "got" Schitt's Creek. I find it funny at times, but the laughs are sparse

  15. #135
    OKJAke Gyllenhaal erikdean's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by thepatrickk View Post
    I wish I "got" Schitt's Creek. I find it funny at times, but the laughs are sparse



  16. #136
    Always Be Excellent to Each Other Howard Beale's Toothpaste's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by buttercreme View Post
    the new Screentalk Emmy podcast is painfully awkward
    Anne Thompson swore up and down that the GoT ladies are all in the same category. they haven't been for years now.
    She sounds senile, it's bizarre, I didn't think she was THAT old. and you'd think she would do her research on this stuff.

    It is also weird neither her nor Libby realized Gwendoline Christie submitted. but I do think they're right to be more down on Headey and Turner's chances.

    anyway, going to redo my predictions

    Drama Series
    Game of Thrones
    Killing Eve
    Pose
    This Is Us
    Ozark
    Bodyguard
    Better Call Saul

    alt. Homecoming

    Lead Actress in a Drama Series
    Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
    Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
    Laura Linney, Ozark
    Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
    Julia Roberts, Homecoming
    MJ Rodriguez, Pose

    alt. Christine Baranski, The Good Fight

    Lead Actor in a Drama Series
    Billy Porter, Pose
    Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    Jason Bateman, Ozark
    Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us
    Richard Madden, Bodyguard
    Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones

    alt. Brian Cox, Succession

    Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
    Maisie Williams, Game of Thrones
    Gwendoline Christie, Game of Thrones
    Julia Garner, Ozark
    Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul
    Indya Moore, Pose

    alt. Keeley Hawes, Bodyguard

    Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
    Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
    Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, Game of Thrones
    Matthew MacFayden, Succession
    Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    Bobby Cannavale, Homecoming
    Peter Mullan, Ozark

    alt. Giancarlo Esposito, Better Call Saul

    Comedy Series
    Veep
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Barry
    Russian Doll
    blackish
    The Kominsky Method
    Fleabag

    alt. Better Things

    Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Michael Douglas, The Kominsky Method
    Bill Hader, Barry
    Anthony Anderson, blackish
    Ted Danson, The Good Place
    Jim Carrey, Kidding
    Don Cheadle, Black Monday

    alt. Sacha Baron Cohen, Who Is America?

    Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
    Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Natasha Lyonne, Russian Doll
    Phoebe Waller-Bridge, Fleabag
    Pamela Adlon, Better Things
    Alison Janney, Mom

    alt. Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

    Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
    Anna Chlumsky, Veep
    Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Marin Hinkle, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Kate McKinnon, SNL
    Leslie Jones, SNL
    D'Arcy Carden, The Good Place

    alt. Betty Gilpin, GLOW

    Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
    Tony Shalhoub, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Alan Arkin, The Kominsky Method
    Tony Hale, Veep
    Henry Winkler, Barry
    Stephen Root, Barry
    Timothy Simons, Veep

    alt. William Jackson Harper, The Good Place

    TV Movie
    Black Mirror: Bandersnatch
    Deadwood
    King Lear
    Native Son
    O.G.

    Limited Series
    Chernobyl
    When They See Us
    Escape At Dannemora
    A Very English Scandal
    Fosse/Verdon

    alt. Sharp Objects

    Lead Actress in a Limited Series/Movie
    Patricia Arquette, Escape At Dannemora
    Michelle Williams, Fosse/Verdon
    Amy Adams, Sharp Objects
    Joey King, The Act
    Niecy Nash, When They See Us
    Marisa Tomei, Live in Front of a Studio Audience...

    alt. Julianna Margulies, The Hot Zone

    Lead Actor in a Limited Series/Movie
    Benicio Del Toro, Escape At Dannemora
    Jared Harris, Chernobyl
    Jharrel Jerome, When They See Us
    Hugh Grant, A Very English Scandal
    Mahershala Ali, True Detective
    Sam Rockwell, Fosse/Verdon

    alt. Ian McShane, Deadwood

    Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie
    Patricia Arquette, The Act
    Patricia Clarkson, Sharp Objects
    Vera Farmiga, When They See Us
    Marla Gibbs, Live In Front of a Studio Audience
    Anna Gunn, Deadwood
    Emma Thompson, King Lear

    alt. Eliza Scanlen, Sharp Objects

    Supporting Actor in a Limited Series/Movie
    Ben Whishaw, A Very English Scandal
    Michael K. Williams, When They See Us
    Stellan Skarsgard, Chernobyl
    Paul Dano, Escape At Dannemora
    Eric Lange, Escape At Dannemora
    Gerald McRaney, Deadwood

    alt. John Leguizamo, When They See Us


    I tried to mix reasonability, consensus, an expectation some of the voters will try to be hip and others will be terminally lame.
    I made a few macro guesses that could be wrong.
    1. Succession is going to pull a surprise miss because HBO put most of its effort into GoT
    2. Pose is going to do pretty well
    3. basically nobody is watching The Good Fight, at all
    4. Bodyguard is popular
    5. Better Call Saul is as close as this category has to carryover prestige, and will resultingly benefit. Odenkirk may win.
    6. Because everyone watched GoT, the normal namecheck phenomena might not be as likely, and the nominations might reflect the season that actually happened.
    7. old people love Ozark guys, they love it
    8. The Good Place won't break through, either this year or next (no matter how good it is) because we live in the Bad Place. I'm not going to be tricked into getting my hopes up.
    9. Veep, Barry, and The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel are the big prestige options. Blackish could drop out, but it's the standard bearer for network comedy here (even if the Good Place gets in, it wouldn't really be that, because it's too weird).
    10. RIP GLOW here lol I just think it's going to be overshadowed by Russian Doll with the hip crowd, and Kominsky Method with the olds.
    11. Brexit will be snubbed because of politics
    12. there is a Deadwood cult
    13. Niecy Nash is a beloved industry figure
    14. lol Live in Front of a Studio Audience is exactly the kind of thing they randomly embrace
    15. I don't have Les Miserables anywhere, but I would not be surprised to see either Oyelowo or Collins
    16. Sharp Objects is yesterday's news
    Last edited by Howard Beale's Toothpaste; 06-22-2019 at 02:04 AM.

  17. #137
    Senior Member dyedred19's Avatar
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    Vulture did their predictions and picked eight nominees for Drama and Comedy, which just feels like such a boring cop-out.

  18. #138
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Dark Poet View Post
    Yep, Legend Cathy O. could've won Supporting so damn easily and its not like she would've been massive category fraud this season anyway
    I'm starting to hope she can get into Lead though but not sure who gets left out. There's definitely a bigger push this year:


  19. #139
    Senior Member lacourseauxetoiles's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Howard Beale's Toothpaste View Post
    She sounds senile, it's bizarre, I didn't think she was THAT old. and you'd think she would do her research on this stuff.

    It is also weird neither her nor Libby realized Gwendoline Christie submitted. but I do think they're right to be more down on Headey and Turner's chances.

    anyway, going to redo my predictions

    Drama Series
    Game of Thrones
    Killing Eve
    Pose
    This Is Us
    Ozark
    Bodyguard
    Better Call Saul

    alt. Homecoming

    Lead Actress in a Drama Series
    Sandra Oh, Killing Eve
    Jodie Comer, Killing Eve
    Laura Linney, Ozark
    Emilia Clarke, Game of Thrones
    Julia Roberts, Homecoming
    MJ Rodriguez, Pose

    alt. Christine Baranski, The Good Fight

    Lead Actor in a Drama Series
    Billy Porter, Pose
    Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul
    Jason Bateman, Ozark
    Sterling K. Brown, This Is Us
    Richard Madden, Bodyguard
    Kit Harrington, Game of Thrones

    alt. Brian Cox, Succession

    Supporting Actress in a Drama Series
    Maisie Williams, Game of Thrones
    Gwendoline Christie, Game of Thrones
    Julia Garner, Ozark
    Fiona Shaw, Killing Eve
    Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul
    Keeley Hawes, Bodyguard

    alt. Susan Kelechi Watson, This Is Us

    Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
    Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
    Nikolaj Coster-Waldau, Game of Thrones
    Kieran Culkin, Succession
    Jonathan Banks, Better Call Saul
    Bobby Cannavale, Homecoming

    alt. Peter Mullan, Ozark

    Comedy Series
    Veep
    The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Barry
    Russian Doll
    blackish
    The Kominsky Method
    Fleabag

    alt. Better Things

    Lead Actor in a Comedy Series
    Michael Douglas, The Kominsky Method
    Bill Hader, Barry
    Anthony Anderson, blackish
    Ted Danson, The Good Place
    Jim Carrey, Kidding
    Don Cheadle, Black Monday

    alt. Sacha Baron Cohen, Who Is America?

    Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
    Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
    Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Natasha Lyonne, Russian Doll
    Phoebe Waller-Bridge, Fleabag
    Pamela Adlon, Better Things
    Alison Janney, Mom

    alt. Lily Tomlin, Grace and Frankie

    Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series
    Anna Chlumsky, Veep
    Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Marin Hinkle, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Kate McKinnon, SNL
    Aidy Bryant, SNL
    D'Arcy Carden, The Good Place

    alt. Betty Gilpin, GLOW

    Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series
    Tony Shalhoub, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel
    Alan Arkin, The Kominsky Method
    Tony Hale, Veep
    Henry Winkler, Barry
    Stephen Root, Barry
    Timothy Simons, Veep

    alt. William Jackson Harper, The Good Place

    TV Movie
    Black Mirror: Bandersnatch
    Deadwood
    King Lear
    Native Son
    O.G.

    Limited Series
    Chernobyl
    When They See Us
    Escape At Dannemora
    A Very English Scandal
    Fosse/Verdon

    alt. Sharp Objects

    Lead Actress in a Limited Series/Movie
    Patricia Arquette, Escape At Dannemora
    Michelle Williams, Fosse/Verdon
    Amy Adams, Sharp Objects
    Joey King, The Act
    Niecy Nash, When They See Us
    Marisa Tomei, Live in Front of a Studio Audience...

    alt. Julianna Margulies, The Hot Zone

    Lead Actor in a Limited Series/Movie
    Benicio Del Toro, Escape At Dannemora
    Jared Harris, Chernobyl
    Jharrel Jerome, When They See Us
    Hugh Grant, A Very English Scandal
    Mahershala Ali, True Detective
    Sam Rockwell, Fosse/Verdon

    alt. Ian McShane, Deadwood

    Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie
    Patricia Arquette, The Act
    Patricia Clarkson, Sharp Objects
    Vera Farmiga, When They See Us
    Marla Gibbs, Live In Front of a Studio Audience
    Anna Gunn, Deadwood
    Emma Thompson, King Lear

    alt. Eliza Scanlen, Sharp Objects

    Supporting Actor in a Limited Series/Movie
    Ben Whishaw, A Very English Scandal
    Michael K. Williams, When They See Us
    Stellan Skarsgard, Chernobyl
    Paul Dano, Escape At Dannemora
    Eric Lange, Escape At Dannemora
    Gerald McRaney, Deadwood

    alt. John Leguizamo, When They See Us


    I tried to mix reasonability, consensus, an expectation some of the voters will try to be hip and others will be terminally lame.
    I made a few macro guesses that could be wrong.
    1. Succession is going to pull a surprise miss because HBO put most of its effort into GoT
    2. Pose is going to do pretty well
    3. basically nobody is watching The Good Fight, at all
    4. Bodyguard is popular
    5. Better Call Saul is as close as this category has to carryover prestige, and will resultingly benefit. Odenkirk may win.
    6. Because everyone watched GoT, the normal namecheck phenomena might not be as likely, and the nominations might reflect the season that actually happened.
    7. old people love Ozark guys, they love it
    8. The Good Place won't break through, either this year or next (no matter how good it is) because we live in the Bad Place. I'm not going to be tricked into getting my hopes up.
    9. Veep, Barry, and The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel are the big prestige options. Blackish could drop out, but it's the standard bearer for network comedy here (even if the Good Place gets in, it wouldn't really be that, because it's too weird).
    10. RIP GLOW here lol I just think it's going to be overshadowed by Russian Doll with the hip crowd, and Kominsky Method with the olds.
    11. Brexit will be snubbed because of politics
    12. there is a Deadwood cult
    13. Niecy Nash is a beloved industry figure
    14. lol Live in Front of a Studio Audience is exactly the kind of thing they randomly embrace
    15. I don't have Les Miserables anywhere, but I would not be surprised to see either Oyelowo or Collins
    16. Sharp Objects is yesterday's news
    I have a few thoughts.

    1. I really can't see Kit Harington getting nominated over Milo Ventimiglia. If the Emmy voters actually watched the season, they aren't voting for Harington, and even if they didn't, they weren't willing to vote for him over Ventimiglia last year.

    2. If Bodyguard is strong enough to get into series, I think Madden has Lead Actor in the bag.

    3. Regardless of whether or not her performance actually deserves to make it in, Lena Headey's career narrative and Emmy voter laziness will probably still put her over the top IMO. I hope you're right, but in a category that weak (I heard Fiona Shaw did nothing in Season 2 of Killing Eve) she can make it.

    4. Indya Moore is definitely not missing in this Supporting Actress field if Pose is strong enough to get MJ Rodriguez into Lead. Indya Moore is honestly probably winning if the show is that strong.

    5. You need to predict a 6th nominee for Drama Supporting Actor.

    6. If Succession is missing series, Culkin isn't getting in. He doesn't get any juicy material until the 7th episode of the show, and while he's great from that point on, the only people who would vote for him are people who are sold on the series overall.

    7. You're avoiding predicting The Good Place just because you don't want to be disappointed and that makes little sense. It's at least in 8th, and if you truly think it's too weird for the Emmys you should not be predicting a nomination for D'Arcy Carden over Marin Hinkle, Sarah Goldberg, Olivia Colman, Sian Clifford, and Leslie Jones in shows you think the Emmys like.

    8. Speaking of Leslie Jones, she's more likely for a nomination than Aidy Bryant. She had a better season, she was strong in the last 2 episodes of the season, and she has a better track record with the Emmys.

    9. I don't know why Don Cheadle would get nominated for a poorly-reviewed show with little buzz and poor ratings.

    10. From what I've heard, Robin Weigert is the main Supporting Actress contender for Deadwood, not Anna Gunn.

    Quote Originally Posted by musterd View Post
    I'm starting to hope she can get into Lead though but not sure who gets left out. There's definitely a bigger push this year:

    I really doubt it. Waller-Bridge, Adlon, Lyonne, and Bell all feel like they have more critical support behind them, and since Louis-Dreyfus and Brosnahan are both locks, I can't see her getting in unless if the Emmys decide to drop both Tomlin and Janney (and at least one of them will probably stick around).

  20. #140
    Always Be Excellent to Each Other Howard Beale's Toothpaste's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by lacourseauxetoiles View Post
    I have a few thoughts.

    1. I really can't see Kit Harington getting nominated over Milo Ventimiglia. If the Emmy voters actually watched the season, they aren't voting for Harington, and even if they didn't, they weren't willing to vote for him over Ventimiglia last year.

    2. If Bodyguard is strong enough to get into series, I think Madden has Lead Actor in the bag.

    3. Regardless of whether or not her performance actually deserves to make it in, Lena Headey's career narrative and Emmy voter laziness will probably still put her over the top IMO. I hope you're right, but in a category that weak (I heard Fiona Shaw did nothing in Season 2 of Killing Eve) she can make it.

    4. Indya Moore is definitely not missing in this Supporting Actress field if Pose is strong enough to get MJ Rodriguez into Lead. Indya Moore is honestly probably winning if the show is that strong.

    5. You need to predict a 6th nominee for Drama Supporting Actor.

    6. If Succession is missing series, Culkin isn't getting in. He doesn't get any juicy material until the 7th episode of the show, and while he's great from that point on, the only people who would vote for him are people who are sold on the series overall.

    7. You're avoiding predicting The Good Place just because you don't want to be disappointed and that makes little sense. It's at least in 8th, and if you truly think it's too weird for the Emmys you should not be predicting a nomination for D'Arcy Carden over Marin Hinkle, Sarah Goldberg, Olivia Colman, Sian Clifford, and Leslie Jones in shows you think the Emmys like.

    8. Speaking of Leslie Jones, she's more likely for a nomination than Aidy Bryant. She had a better season, she was strong in the last 2 episodes of the season, and she has a better track record with the Emmys.

    9. I don't know why Don Cheadle would get nominated for a poorly-reviewed show with little buzz and poor ratings.

    10. From what I've heard, Robin Weigert is the main Supporting Actress contender for Deadwood, not Anna Gunn.



    I really doubt it. Waller-Bridge, Adlon, Lyonne, and Bell all feel like they have more critical support behind them, and since Louis-Dreyfus and Brosnahan are both locks, I can't see her getting in unless if the Emmys decide to drop both Tomlin and Janney (and at least one of them will probably stick around).
    1. You have a good point there, but I dunno if This Is Us is still strong enough to get two actors in. I am tempted to drop Harrington, though, but at least he had a major presence in the season, and has...clips?

    2. Possibly, but if Better Call Saul also does well, we have a race. Also Jason Bateman could just win, these are the people that awarded Jeff Daniels

    3. but she has nooooooothing. It would be very Emmy, but I'm going to die on this hill.

    4. Fiona Shaw showing up here would be extremely Emmy tho, Killing Eve is probably one of those shows that will have some blind voting because people want to seem cool, and Fiona Shaw is well-respected. but I might switch out Hawes for Moore, as Hawes has virtually no US profile and isn't really getting much of the Bodyguard buzz.

    5. lol whoops

    6. Supporting Actor in a Drama Series is a fucking ghost town, but that's good to know about Culkin. is Matthew MacFayden possible instead? I've heard he has a showy, kinda evil character. I think Succession can land one random acting nod while disappointing overall, we see this kind of thing all the time.

    7/8. Carden's episode is so ludicrously baity for her tho. my logic on Bryant is that it's goodwill for Shrill, but I guess if SNL is one of the few shows people actually watch, it makes sense if Jones had a good season she gets in. I think you missed that I do have Marin Hinkle in there.

    9. tell that to everyone on Goldderby, Anne Thompson, and multiple other prediction sites. Cheadle, it should be noted, was nominated four years running in this category, for House of Lies, a show NOBODY CARED ABOUT. He and Carrey are both getting namechecked in a pretty soft category.

    10. I've heard conflicting things on that, but Anna Gunn has more recent Emmy history.

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