AwardsWatch - Gold Rush Gang 2016 Oscar Predictions: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (July)

Gold Rush Gang 2016 Oscar Predictions: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (July)

In the Best Supporting Actress race, Rooney Mara (Carol) has kept her significant lead. With her Best Actress win at Cannes and that her film was the first seen has kept her at the top of the heap and probably will for some time. Jane Fonda’s 6-minute scene in Youth (also at Cannes) was heavily buzzed but she’ll likely be off the list by next month. Me and Earl and the Dying Girl‘s Olivia Cook (released last month) still holds onto a single vote but that could just be Long’s notorious forgetfulness in updating his predictions. That film didn’t come close to meeting its box office expectations and I can’t imagine it making any impact on the Oscars and the rest of the Gold Rush Gang seems to agree.

This month Chris Pepper comes to my side in thinking that Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl) will not end up being pushed in Supporting but instead find her way in Lead. She’s still in 2nd place though and will likely remain there until we get word from Focus Features. Helena Bonham Carter is safely in 3rd place right now with Suffragette and that film’s full trailer probably helped secure that. Speaking of trailers, just one point behind HBC in 4th place is Joy‘s Diane Ladd. That film should see a trailer next week and it could push her up if she has any juicy scenes in or drop her down if she’s not heavily featured. We can be a fickle bunch.

Naomi Watts shows up twice, for Demolition and Three Generations (now titled About Ray). But, her support is thin, only garnering two votes for the former and one for the latter. Ellen Page (Freeheld) has seven of ten votes but there is also a chance she’ll be pushed to lead and Julianne Moore in supporting as the film has been a passion project of hers for years. I expect Kate Winslet to move up the list after the full Steve Jobs trailer was released just before voting ended for the month of June for the Gold Rush Gang.

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.