2018 Oscar Predictions: THE SCREENPLAYS (April)

Erik Anderson April 7, 2017

Not much change this month in the screenplay categories from last month; Adapted Screenplay has the same top 6 and in the same order with Wonderstruck holding a commanding lead but Call Me Your Name is still strong and Lean on Pete gains in points.

Original Screenplay is virtually unchanged in its top 5 save for the addition of The Post. It replaces Paul Thomas Anderson’s Fashion Project, which plummets to #11. Otherwise, #1, #2, #3, and #5 remain the same. Downsizing widens the gap between itself and Kathryn Bigelow’s Detroit Riots Project. Last month a single point separated the two, this month Downsizing‘s point total is +8.

LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions in Adapted and Original Screenplay for April from the Gold Rush Gang.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

	ADAPTED SCREENPLAY	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Wonderstruck	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	6	1	1	94
2	Call Me By Your Name	2	2	3	2	1	4	2	5	3	2	84
3	Lean on Pete	3	4	2	4	4	2	3	2	2	4	80
4	Last Flag Flying	5	3	7	3	3	6	4	9	4	3	63
5	Mudbound	4	8	4	5		3	5	4	5	6	55

6	Molly’s Game	8	6	5	6	8	5	6	7	6	5	48
7	Disobedience	6	7	9	7	6	7	8	8	8	10	34
8	Victoria and Abdul	9	9	6	8	7	9	10	10	9	8	25
9	Leisure Seeker, The	7		8	9	9	10	7		7	9	22
10	The Death of Stalin		5			5		9			7	18
11	How to Talk to Girls at Parties	10			10	10				10		4
11	Blade Runner 2049			10			8					4
13	Can You Ever Forgive Me?		10									1

	OTHER CONTENDERS
	Beguiled, The
	Glass Castle, The
	Mountain Between Us, The
	Snowman, The
	Stronger
	Thoroughbred
	Untouchable
	Wonder
	You Were Never Really Here

	ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Downsizing	1	1	2	1	1	2	1	2	1	1	97
2	Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Project	2	2	1	2	6	1	2	1	2	2	89
3	Darkest Hour	4	6	3	4	3	4	3	4	3	5	71
4	The Post	3	4	4	3	4	3	5		4	4	65
5	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	7	3	8	7	5	9	6	9	5	3	48

6	Get Out	6	7	9	6	7	7	9	10	8	7	34
7	Inner City (possibly 2018)		5			2		4	6	10	8	31
8	Current War, The	8		10	10	8	10	7	7	6		22
8	Happy End		8	6	5		6	8				22
10	Suburbicon	5		5			5	10			10	20
11	Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project		10				8		3	9	6	19
12	mother!		9	7	8				5			15
13	Killing of a Sacred Deer, The				9					7		6
14	Brad’s Status					9					9	4
15	Dunkirk								8			3
16	Greatest Showman, The	9										2
17	Wonder Wheel					10						1
17	Wind River	10										1

	OTHER CONTENDERS
	Baby Driver
	Breathe
	Hostiles
	I, Tonya (possibly 2018)
	Kings
	Marshall
	Mary Magdalene
	Novitiate
	Shape of Water, The
	Tully
	Under the Silver Lake
	Untitled A. A. Milne biopic

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.