Not much change this month in the screenplay categories from last month; Adapted Screenplay has the same top 6 and in the same order with Wonderstruck holding a commanding lead but Call Me Your Name is still strong and Lean on Pete gains in points.
Original Screenplay is virtually unchanged in its top 5 save for the addition of The Post. It replaces Paul Thomas Anderson’s Fashion Project, which plummets to #11. Otherwise, #1, #2, #3, and #5 remain the same. Downsizing widens the gap between itself and Kathryn Bigelow’s Detroit Riots Project. Last month a single point separated the two, this month Downsizing‘s point total is +8.
LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions in Adapted and Original Screenplay for April from the Gold Rush Gang.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
| ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ERIK ANDERSON | BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST | JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK | DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY | ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wonderstruck | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 94 |
| 2 | Call Me By Your Name | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 84 |
| 3 | Lean on Pete | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 80 |
| 4 | Last Flag Flying | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 63 |
| 5 | Mudbound | 4 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 55 | |
| 6 | Molly’s Game | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 48 |
| 7 | Disobedience | 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 34 |
| 8 | Victoria and Abdul | 9 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25 |
| 9 | Leisure Seeker, The | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 22 | ||
| 10 | The Death of Stalin | 5 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 18 | ||||||
| 11 | How to Talk to Girls at Parties | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 4 | ||||||
| 11 | Blade Runner 2049 | 10 | 8 | 4 | ||||||||
| 13 | Can You Ever Forgive Me? | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Beguiled, The | ||||||||||||
| Glass Castle, The | ||||||||||||
| Mountain Between Us, The | ||||||||||||
| Snowman, The | ||||||||||||
| Stronger | ||||||||||||
| Thoroughbred | ||||||||||||
| Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Wonder | ||||||||||||
| You Were Never Really Here |
| ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ERIK ANDERSON | BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST | JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK | DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY | ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Downsizing | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 97 |
| 2 | Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Detroit Riots Project | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 89 |
| 3 | Darkest Hour | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 71 |
| 4 | The Post | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 65 | |
| 5 | Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | 7 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 48 |
| 6 | Get Out | 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 34 |
| 7 | Inner City (possibly 2018) | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 31 | ||||
| 8 | Current War, The | 8 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | ||
| 8 | Happy End | 8 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22 | |||||
| 10 | Suburbicon | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 20 | |||||
| 11 | Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project | 10 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 19 | |||||
| 12 | mother! | 9 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 15 | ||||||
| 13 | Killing of a Sacred Deer, The | 9 | 7 | 6 | ||||||||
| 14 | Brad’s Status | 9 | 9 | 4 | ||||||||
| 15 | Dunkirk | 8 | 3 | |||||||||
| 16 | Greatest Showman, The | 9 | 2 | |||||||||
| 17 | Wonder Wheel | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| 17 | Wind River | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Baby Driver | ||||||||||||
| Breathe | ||||||||||||
| Hostiles | ||||||||||||
| I, Tonya (possibly 2018) | ||||||||||||
| Kings | ||||||||||||
| Marshall | ||||||||||||
| Mary Magdalene | ||||||||||||
| Novitiate | ||||||||||||
| Shape of Water, The | ||||||||||||
| Tully | ||||||||||||
| Under the Silver Lake | ||||||||||||
| Untitled A. A. Milne biopic |
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