2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (April)
[divider style=”normal” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
As with Supporting Actor this month, Supporting Actress is the same top 5 as last month with just a few tweaks in placement.
Julianne Moore not only remains at #1 with Wonderstruck, she improves her point total. Snippets of the film were shown at CinemaCon last month to strong word of mouth and Moore playing multiple characters will only help keep her at the top spot.
Melissa Leo (Novitiate) stays at #2 but with fewer points as her main competitors down the list have started chipping away at her placement. Those competitors, Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour) find themselves tied at #3 but with Chau making the biggest move.
LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world
Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!) is safe at #5 this month, nearly double the #6 Claire Foy (Breathe), who actually makes a huge jump from #16.. Just behind Foy is Mary J. Blige (Mudbound), in her first feature in four years. Rachel McAdams (Disobedience) trails not too far behind.
Looking for surprise contenders or sleepers we could see Kaela Settle in The Greatest Showman. She has a show-stopping number in the original musical and 20th Century Fox is going to pull out all the stops for the Christmas Day release. Nicole Kidman is having a banner year, having just ended her limited series Big Little Lies to some of the best reviews of her career. She will follow that with possible Cannes Film Festival appearances of Sofia Coppola’s The Beguiled, John Cameron Mitchell’s How to Talk to Girls at Parties and/or Yorgos Lanthimos’s The Killing of a Sacred Deer.
This time last year, the Gold Rush Gang had four of the five eventual Oscar nominees in our top 10 with only Viola Davis missing due to her category placement being up in the air at the time.
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for April from the Gold Rush Gang.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
|
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
|
ERIK
ANDERSON |
BRYAN BONAFEDE
|
GREG HOWARD
|
EVAN
KOST |
JASON OSIASON
|
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK |
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
|
RICHARD
ANTHONY |
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
|
MATT DINN
|
TOTAL
POINTS |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 96 |
| 2 | Melissa Leo – Novitiate | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 86 |
| 3 | Hong Chau – Downsizing | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 73 |
| 3 | Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 73 |
| 5 | Michelle Pfeiffer – mother! | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | Claire Foy – Breathe | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30 | ||||
| 7 | Mary J. Blige – Mudbound | 5 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | ||
| 8 | Rachel McAdams – Disobedience | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 9 | Katherine Waterston – The Current War | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | ||||
| 10 | Vicky Krieps – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project | 5 | 9 | 6 | 13 | |||||||
| 10 | Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 13 | |||||
| 12 | Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete | 9 | 5 | 8 | 11 | |||||||
| 13 | Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake | 8 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
| 14 | Julianne Moore – Suburbicon | 6 | 5 | |||||||||
| 15 | Allison Janney – I, Tonya (likely 2018) | 9 | 10 | 3 | ||||||||
| 15 | Holly Hunter – The Big Sick | 8 | 3 | |||||||||
| 17 | Mackenzie Davis – Tully | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| 17 | Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| 17 | Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Aja Naomi King – Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Brie Larson – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Charlotte Rampling – Red Sparrow | ||||||||||||
| Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | ||||||||||||
| Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel | ||||||||||||
| Kristen Wiig – Downsizing | ||||||||||||
| Lesley Manville – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project | ||||||||||||
| Margot Robbie – Untitled A.A. Milne Biopic | ||||||||||||
| Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – How to Talk to Girls at Parties | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water | ||||||||||||
| Rachel Weisz – Disobedience | ||||||||||||
| Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman | ||||||||||||
| Rosamund Pike – Entebbe | ||||||||||||
| Tatiana Maslany – Stronger | ||||||||||||
| Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool |
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
- Nava Mau, Sean Wang Among 2024 BAFTA Breakthroughs Championing New ‘Must-Watch’ Creatives - November 21, 2024
- Hans Zimmer, ‘Emilia Pérez,’ Diane Warren Top 2024 Hollywood Music in Media Awards - November 21, 2024
- 2025 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (November) - November 20, 2024
Nava Mau, Sean Wang Among 2024 BAFTA Breakthroughs Championing New ‘Must-Watch’ Creatives 
Interview: Saoirse Ronan on Addiction, Recovery, and ‘The Outrun’ [VIDEO] 
Hans Zimmer, ‘Emilia Pérez,’ Diane Warren Top 2024 Hollywood Music in Media Awards 
2025 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (November)