2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (April)

Erik Anderson April 6, 2017

Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore still #1; Melissa Leo, Hong Chau, Kristin Scott Thomas, Michelle Pfeiffer give chase

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As with Supporting Actor this month, Supporting Actress is the same top 5 as last month with just a few tweaks in placement.

Julianne Moore not only remains at #1 with Wonderstruck, she improves her point total. Snippets of the film were shown at CinemaCon last month to strong word of mouth and Moore playing multiple characters will only help keep her at the top spot.

Melissa Leo (Novitiate) stays at #2 but with fewer points as her main competitors down the list have started chipping away at her placement. Those competitors, Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour) find themselves tied at #3 but with Chau making the biggest move.

LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world

Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!) is safe at #5 this month, nearly double the #6 Claire Foy (Breathe), who actually makes a huge jump from #16.. Just behind Foy is Mary J. Blige (Mudbound), in her first feature in four years. Rachel McAdams (Disobedience) trails not too far behind.

Looking for surprise contenders or sleepers we could see Kaela Settle in The Greatest Showman. She has a show-stopping number in the original musical and 20th Century Fox is going to pull out all the stops for the Christmas Day release. Nicole Kidman is having a banner year, having just ended her limited series Big Little Lies to some of the best reviews of her career. She will follow that with possible Cannes Film Festival appearances of Sofia Coppola’s The Beguiled, John Cameron Mitchell’s How to Talk to Girls at Parties and/or Yorgos Lanthimos’s The Killing of a Sacred Deer.

This time last year, the Gold Rush Gang had four of the five eventual Oscar nominees in our top 10 with only Viola Davis missing due to her category placement being up in the air at the time.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for April from the Gold Rush Gang.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

	SUPPORTING ACTRESS	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck	1	1	1	1	3	1	1	2	2	1	96
2	Melissa Leo – Novitiate	2	3	2	2	1	2	3	6	1	2	86
3	Hong Chau – Downsizing	4	2	5	4	2	4	2	4	7	3	73
3	Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour	3	7	3	5	4	3	4	1	3	4	73
5	Michelle Pfeiffer – mother!	6	6	7	3	5	7	5	3	4	5	59

6	Claire Foy – Breathe		4		6	6		6	5		9	30
7	Mary J. Blige – Mudbound	5		8		7	10	7	9	5	8	29
8	Rachel McAdams – Disobedience	7	10	6	8	9	9	10	7	9	10	25
9	Katherine Waterston – The Current War			4	7	8	8	8	10			21
10	Vicky Krieps – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project		5	9							6	13
10	Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman	8		10	9			9		6		13
12	Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete	9					5		8			11
13	Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake		8								7	7
14	Julianne Moore – Suburbicon						6					5
15	Allison Janney – I, Tonya (likely 2018)		9							10		3
15	Holly Hunter – The Big Sick									8		3
17	Mackenzie Davis – Tully					10						1
17	Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman	10										1
17	Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled				10							1

	OTHER CONTENDERS
	Aja Naomi King – Untouchable
	Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
	Charlotte Rampling – Red Sparrow
	Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
	Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel

	Kristen Wiig – Downsizing
	Lesley Manville – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
	Margot Robbie – Untitled A.A. Milne Biopic
	Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle
	Nicole Kidman – How to Talk to Girls at Parties
	Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
	Nicole Kidman – Untouchable
	Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water
	Rachel Weisz – Disobedience
	Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman
	Rosamund Pike – Entebbe
	Tatiana Maslany – Stronger
	Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.