2021 Oscar Predictions: SOUND (February)

Sound and fury, signifying…an Oscar nomination? That’s the hope of some of the powerhouse films with complicated sound design in a year largely devoid of the type of blockbusters that normally populate this (now single) category.

While The Midnight Sky, Tenet and News of the World exemplify those kinds of films and should find a place here, this year also brings the very specific sound design of Sound of Metal, where we experience the loss of hearing from Riz Ahmed, a punk drummer going deaf after years of high decibel concerts.

It’s also a good place to see how strong a Best Picture contender is that doesn’t normally fit into this category. If Nomadland or The Trial of the Chicago 7 find a spot here you can be assured that there is enough broad support to push it over the top. In this case, Trial stands a much better shot as it features riots, crowds, gunshots and more while Nomadland is such a quiet and still film but poetically incorporates its score and minimal sound design.

Soul makes a pretty big drop this month even though it seems like it should be a lock here. Like Sound of Metal, music is such an integral part of the film and its score is easily the #1 contender so why not sound? Looking back, animated films (specifically Disney/Pixar) nearly always scored nominations here, especially in the 2000s. The last animated film to show up in either Sound Editing or Sound Mixing was 2010’s Toy Story 3 (it got into Sound Editing). Incidentally, that was also the second of only two years of the expanded Best Picture lineup of a straight ten nominees where it was also the last animated film nominated there.

Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Sound for February.

Green – moves up ↑; Red – moves down ↓; Blue – new entry this month +; Black – no change ↔

1.  The Midnight Sky ↔ (Netflix) – BAFTA longlist
Randy Thom, Dan Hiland, Todd Beckett, Danny Hambrook, Bjorn Schroeder

2. Sound of Metal ↑ (Amazon Studios) – BAFTA longlist

Phillip Bladh, Nicolas Becker, Jaime Baksht, Michelle Couttolenc, Carlos Cortés, Carolina Santana

3. Tenet ↑ (Warner Bros) – BAFTA longlist

Richard King, Mark Larry, Kevin O’Connell, Gary A. Rizzo

4. News of the World ↑ (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA longlist
John Pritchett, Mike Prestwood Smith, William Miller, Oliver Tarney, Michael Fentum

5. Mank ↔ (Netflix) – BAFTA longlist
Ren Klyce, Jeremy Molod, David Parker, Nathan Nance, Drew Kunin

6. The Trial of the Chicago 7 ↑ (Netflix) – BAFTA longlist

Renee Tondelli, Dan Kenyon, Julian Slater, Michael Babcock, Thomas Varga 

7. Soul ↓ (Disney/Pixar) – BAFTA longlist
Coya Ellitt, Ren Klick, David Parker, Vince Caro 

8. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom ↑ (Netflix) – BAFTA longlist
Skip Lievsay, Paul Urmson, Dane Lonsdale

9. Da 5 Bloods ↓ (Netflix)
Philip Stockton, Paul Hsu, José Antonio García

10. Nomadland ↑ (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA longlist
Sergio Diaz, Zach Seivers, M. Wolf Snyder

Other Contenders

Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) ↔ (Warner Bros)
Nominees TBD

Greyhound ↔ (Apple TV+) – BAFTA longlist
Odin Benitez, Jason King, Christian P. Minkler, Michael Minkler, Jeff Sawyer

The Invisible Man ↔ (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA longlist
Paul “Salty” Brincat, Will Files, P.K. Hooker

Judas and the Black Messiah ↔ (Warner Bros)
Marlowe Taylor, Rich Bologna, Skip Lievsay

Mulan ↔ (Walt Disney Pictures)
Anna Behlmer, Jonathan Borland, Pascal Garneau, Scott Guitteau

The Outpost ↓ (Screen Media Films)
Emil Evtimov, Kris Casavant, Gord Hillier, Robert Fernandez, Ryan Nowak

Photo credit: Niko Tavernise / Netflix

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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