2023 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (October)

The Gotham Awards nominations this week gave us our first look at who some of our potential frontrunners are, have been or could be in the supporting actor race. While the Gothams aren’t the biggest precursor (they are a critics’ group, after all, and nominations are decided on by just five people per category), this is where Troy Kotsur officially began his run last year on the way to his historic Oscar win for CODA.

Of the male supporting performances nominated at the Gothams (they utilize non-gender specific lead and supporting acting categories) we have Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once) and Ben Whishaw (Women Talking), who have both been in my top 5 for months. Given a leg up this week were Raúl Castillo in The Inspection, Brian Tyree Henry in Causeway and previous Oscar winner Mark Rylance in Bones and All.

The big question in this category is if either The Fabelmans or The Banshees of Inisherin can get two actors nominated here. Both major contenders in Best Picture and elsewhere, we could even see both pairs go all the way.

Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actor for October.

Green – moves up ↑ Red – moves down ↓ Blue – new entry ♦

1. Ke Huy Quan – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
2. Ben Whishaw – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
3. Brendan Gleeson – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
4. Paul Dano – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) ↑
5. Barry Keoghan – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures) ↑

6. Judd Hirsch – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) ↓
7. Woody Harrelson – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) ↑
8. Eddie Redmayne – The Good Nurse (Netflix) ↓
9. Brad Pitt – Babylon (Paramount Pictures) ↓
10. Anthony Hopkins – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)
11. Brian Tyree Henry – Causeway (Apple Original Films) ↑
12. Tom Hanks – Elvis (Warner Bros)
13. Mark Rylance – Bones and All (MGM/UAR) ↑
14. John Boyega – The Woman King (Columbia) ↓
15. Don Cheadle – White Noise (Netflix) ↑
16. Jeremy Strong – Armageddon Time (Focus Features) ↑
17. Raúl Castillo – The Inspection (A24) ♦
18. Stanley Tucci – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Columbia Pictures) ↑
19. Ashton Sanders – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Columbia Pictures)
20. Daniel Brühl – All Quiet on the Western Front (Netflix)

Other contenders (alphabetical)

• Andre Braugher – She Said (Universal Pictures)
• Zlatko Burić – Triangle of Sadness (NEON) ♦
• Colin Firth – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures) ↓
• Ben Foster – Emancipation (Apple Original Films) ♦
• Anthony Hopkins – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Ciarán Hinds – The Wonder (Netflix)
• Toby Jones – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
• Zen McGrath – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) ↓
• Seth Rogen – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures) ↓

• Author
• Recent Posts

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

Latest posts by Erik Anderson (see all)

• Sony Pictures CinemaCon 2025: Double ‘Spider-Man,’ ‘The Beatles,’ ‘Karate Kid Legends,’ ’28 Years Later,’ ‘I Know What You Did Last Summer’ and More - April 1, 2025
• Sony Pictures Classics Acquires Rights to Live Filmed Version of Tony Award-Winning ‘Merrily We Roll Along’ - April 1, 2025
• ‘The Beatles – A Four-Film Cinematic Event’ Announces Full Cast of the Fab Four and April 2028 Release Date - April 1, 2025