With the first trailer for Universal’s She Said dropping, we had our first look at several potential contenders in this category, including Samantha Morton and Patricia Clarkson, both previous supporting actress Oscar nominees. But what I think is more likely to happen is that Carey Mulligan and Zoe Kazan, while arguably co-leads of the film, will be campaigned in lead and supporting, respectively. That would give Kazan and overwhelming advantage to her co-star with lesser screentime.
While dual supporting actress nominations from the same film are by no means scarce (most recently 2018’s The Favourite with Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz), it’s probably more likely to happen with The Son from Sony Pictures Classics with Laura Dern and Vanessa Kirby, the latter of whom vaults into the top five this month.
Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actress for July 2022.
Green – moves up ↑ Red – moves down ↓ Blue – new entry ♦
1. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – 2022 or 2023?
3. Laura Dern – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
4. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
5. Vanessa Kirby – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) ↑
6. Zoe Kazan – She Said (Universal Pictures) ↑
7. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24) ↓
8. Jean Smart – Babylon (Paramount Pictures) ↓
9. Griselda Sicillani – Bardo (or the False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) (Netflix) ↑
10. Greta Gerwig – White Noise (Netflix) ↓
11. Nina Hoss – TÁR (Focus Features) ↓
12. Sadie Sink – The Whale (A24)
13. Samantha Morton – She Said (Universal Pictures)
14. Julianne Nicholson – Blonde (Netflix)
15. Patricia Clarkson – She Said (Universal Pictures) ↓
16. Frances McDormand – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
17. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) ↓
18. Anne Hathaway – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)
19. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
20. Audra McDonald – Rustin (Netflix) – 2202 or 2023? ↓
Other contenders (alphabetical):
Without distribution
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