2023 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (July)

With the first trailer for Universal’s She Said dropping, we had our first look at several potential contenders in this category, including Samantha Morton and Patricia Clarkson, both previous supporting actress Oscar nominees. But what I think is more likely to happen is that Carey Mulligan and Zoe Kazan, while arguably co-leads of the film, will be campaigned in lead and supporting, respectively. That would give Kazan and overwhelming advantage to her co-star with lesser screentime.

While dual supporting actress nominations from the same film are by no means scarce (most recently 2018’s The Favourite with Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz), it’s probably more likely to happen with The Son from Sony Pictures Classics with Laura Dern and Vanessa Kirby, the latter of whom vaults into the top five this month.

Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actress for July 2022.

Green – moves up ↑ Red – moves down ↓ Blue – new entry ♦

1. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – 2022 or 2023?
3. Laura Dern – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
4. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
5. Vanessa Kirby – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics) ↑

6. Zoe Kazan – She Said (Universal Pictures) ↑
7. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24) ↓
8. Jean Smart – Babylon (Paramount Pictures) ↓
9. Griselda Sicillani – Bardo (or the False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) (Netflix) ↑
10. Greta Gerwig – White Noise (Netflix) ↓
11. Nina Hoss – TÁR (Focus Features) ↓
12. Sadie Sink – The Whale (A24)
13. Samantha Morton – She Said (Universal Pictures)
14. Julianne Nicholson – Blonde (Netflix)
15. Patricia Clarkson – She Said (Universal Pictures) ↓
16. Frances McDormand – Women Talking (MGM/UAR) 
17. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24) ↓
18. Anne Hathaway – Armageddon Time (Focus Features) 
19. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
20. Audra McDonald – Rustin (Netflix) – 2202 or 2023? ↓

Other contenders (alphabetical):

• Gillian Anderson – The Pale Blue Eye (Netflix)
• Yalitza Aparicio – Presences (Vix)
• Kathy Bates – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret (Lionsgate)
• Lucy Boynton – Chevalier (Searchlight Pictures)
• Tantoo Cardinal – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – 2022 or 2023?
• Gemma Chan – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros)
• Jessica Chastain – The Good Nurse (Netflix)
• Hong Chau – The Menu (Searchlight Pictures)
• Hong Chau – Showing Up (A24)
• Crystal Clarke – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
• Kerry Condor – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
• Camille Cottin – Golda (Bleecker Street)
• Rossy de Palma – Carmen (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness (NEON)
• Olivia DeJonge – Elvis (Warner Bros)
• Sally Field – Spoiler Alert (Focus Features)
• Claire Foy – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
• Whoopi Goldberg – Till (MGM/UAR)
• Annie Gonzalez – Flamin’ Hot (Searchlight Pictures)
• Manal Issa – The Swimmers (Netflix)
• Nathalie Issa – The Swimmers (Netflix)
• Mia Isaac – Don’t Make Me Go (Amazon Studios)
• Allison Janney – True Love (20^th Century Studios)
• Li Jun Li – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
• Patty LuPone – Disappointment Blvd. (A24) – 2022 or 2023?
• Rooney Mara – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
• Thuso Mbedu – The Woman King (Columbia)
• Rachel McAdams – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret (Lionsgate)
• Michelle McLeod – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
• Noemie Merlant – TÁR (Focus Features)
• Janelle Monáe – Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix)
• Tanya Moore – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
• Carey Mulligan – Spaceman of Bohemia (Netflix)
• Sophie Okonedo – Raymond & Ray (Apple Original Films)
• Parker Posey – Disappointment Blvd. (A24) – 2022 or 2023?
• CCH Pounder – Rustin (Netflix) – 2022 or 2023?
• Isabella Rossellini – Spaceman of Bohemia (Netflix)
• Zoe Saldana – Amsterdam (20^th Century Studios)
• Jurnee Smollett – The Burial (Amazon Studios)
• Tilda Swinton – The Killer (Netflix) – 2022 or 2023?
• Anya Taylor-Joy – Amsterdam (20^th Century Studios)
• Maribel Verdu – Raymond & Ray (Apple Original Films)
• Samara Weaving – Chevalier (Searchlight Pictures)
• Samara Wiley – Red, White, Water (A24)
• Nafessa Williams – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Columbia)

Without distribution

• Matilda De Angelis – Across the River and into the Trees – TBD
• Judi Dench – Allelujah – TBD
• Virginie Efira – Don Juan – TBD
• Tina Fey – Maggie Moore(s) – TBD
• Sarah Gadon – Corner Office – TBD
• Anne Hathaway – She Came to Me – TBD
• Lyna Khoudri – November – TBD
• Vanessa Kirby – The Brutalist – TBD
• Diane Kruger – Joika – TBD
• Joanna Kulig – She Came to Me – TBD
• Thomasin McKenzie – Eileen – TBD
• Jennifer Saunders – Allelujah – TBD
• Marisa Tomei – She Came to Me – TBD
• Odessa Young – Manodrome – TBD

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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