2023 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (May)
If you’ve worked with acclaimed director Kelly Reichardt there’s a good chance you’re in the running for a Supporting Actress Oscar nomination this season. Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans), Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) and Laura Dern (The Son) all co-starred in Reichardt’s Certain Women (2016) and are all in the top tier of this year’s competition. You can’t count out Kristen Stewart either; the first-time Oscar nominee last season and also a star of Certain Women has David Cronenberg’s Crimes of the Future debuting at Cannes this month.
Like in Supporting Actor, there are several films with potential dual nomination chances. Much depends on size of role, impact and actual category placement but we have The Whale (Hong Chau, Samantha Morton and Sadie Sink), Women Talking (Jessie Buckley, Frances McDormand, Rooney Mara, Claire Foy, and Michelle McLeod), She Said (Patricia Clarkson, Samantha Morton and Zoe Kazan), TÁR (Nina Hoss and Noemie Merlant) and more.
Both The Son and Killers of the Flower Moon have possible second contenders in Vanessa Kirby and Tantoo Cardinal, respectively. If Everything Everywhere All at Once blows up we could see either Stephanie Hsu or Jamie Lee Curtis show up. The possibilities in this category are endless and we’re just cracking the surface.
Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actress for May 2022.
1. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films)
3. Laura Dern – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
4. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
5. Patricia Clarkson – She Said (Universal Pictures)
6. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24)
7. Jean Smart – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
8. Audra McDonald – Rustin (Netflix)
9. Greta Gerwig – White Noise (Netflix)
10. Nina Hoss – TÁR (Focus Features)
11. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
12. Sadie Sink – The Whale (A24)
13. Samantha Morton – She Said (Universal Pictures)
14. Julianne Nicholson – Blonde (Netflix)
15. Anne Hathaway – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)
16. Vanessa Kirby – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
17. Frances McDormand – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
18. Kaimana – Next Goal Wins (Searchlight Pictures)
19. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
20. Griselda Sicillani – Bardo (or the False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) (Netflix)
Other contenders (alphabetical):
- Gillian Anderson – The Pale Blue Eye (Netflix)
- Yalitza Aparicio – Presences (Vix)
- Kathy Bates – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret (Lionsgate)
- Lucy Boynton – Chevalier (Searchlight Pictures)
- Tantoo Cardinal – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films)
- Gemma Chan – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros)
- Jessica Chastain – The Good Nurse (Netflix)
- Hong Chau – The Menu (Searchlight Pictures)
- Hong Chau – Showing Up (A24)
- Crystal Clarke – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
- Kerry Condor – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
- Camille Cottin – Golda (Bleecker Street)
- Rossy de Palma – Carmen (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Olivia DeJonge – Elvis (Warner Bros)
- Sally Field – Spoiler Alert (Focus Features)
- Jodie Foster – Nyad (Netflix)
- Claire Foy – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
- Greta Gerwig – White Noise (Netflix)
- Whoopi Goldberg – Till (MGM/UAR)
- Annie Gonzalez – Flamin’ Hot (Searchlight Pictures)
- Manal Issa – The Swimmers (Netflix)
- Nathalie Issa – The Swimmers (Netflix)
- Mia Isaac – Don’t Make Me Go (Amazon Studios)
- Allison Janney – True Love (20th Century Studios)
- Zoe Kazan – She Said (Universal Pictures)
- Li Jun Li – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
- Patty LuPone – Disappointment Blvd. (A24)
- Thuso Mbedu – The Woman King (Columbia)
- Rachel McAdams – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret (Lionsgate)
- Michelle McLeod – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
- Noemie Merlant – TÁR (Focus Features)
- Tanya Moore – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
- Samantha Morton – The Whale (A24)
- Elisabeth Moss – Next Goal Wins (Searchlight Pictures)
- Carey Mulligan – Spaceman of Bohemia (Netflix)
- Sophie Okonedo – Raymond & Ray (Apple Original Films)
- Parker Posey – Disappointment Blvd. (A24)
- CCH Pounder – Rustin (Netflix)
- Isabella Rossellini – Spaceman of Bohemia (Netflix)
- Zoe Saldana – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)
- Jurnee Smollett – The Burial (Amazon Studios)
- Kirsten Stewart – Crimes of the Future (NEON)
- Tilda Swinton – The Killer (Netflix)
- Anya Taylor-Joy – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)
- Maribel Verdu – Raymond & Ray (Apple Original Films)
- Samara Weaving – Chevalier (Searchlight Pictures)
- Samara Wiley – Red, White, Water (A24)
- Nafessa Williams – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Columbia)
Without distribution
- Matilda De Angelis – Across the River and into the Trees – TBD
- Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness – TBD
- Judi Dench – Allelujah – TBD
- Virginie Efira – Don Juan – TBD
- Tina Fey – Maggie Moore(s) – TBD
- Sarah Gadon – Corner Office – TBD
- Anne Hathaway – She Came to Me – TBD
- Lyna Khoudri – November – TBD
- Vanessa Kirby – The Brutalist – TBD
- Diane Kruger – Joika – TBD
- Joanna Kulig – She Came to Me – TBD
- Thomasin McKenzie – Eileen – TBD
- Jennifer Saunders – Allelujah – TBD
- Marisa Tomei – She Came to Me – TBD
- Odessa Young – Manodrome – TBD
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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