2025 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED SCREENPLAY and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (December)

We have Critics Choice and the Golden Globe screenplay nominations as well as European Film Award winner Emilia Pérez for December predictions. Not a lot of movement this month outside of Wicked: Part 1 becoming a top 10 contender.

The Writers Guild of America (WGA) nominations come out much earlier this season after last year’s strike-driven extension, revealing on January 9, 2025, with several high-profile screenplays being ineligible like The Brutalist, The Substance, Conclave and Emilia Pérez, among others.

Academy Awards nominations will be announced January 17, 2025 and the 97th Oscars will be held on March 2.

Here are my 2025 Oscar predictions in Adapted Screenplay and Original Screenplay for December.

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Next up: 

• Gladiator II — David Scarpa, Peter Craig (based on characters by David Franzoni) (Paramount Pictures)
• Hit Man — Richard Linklater, Glen Powell (based on “Hit Man” by Skip Hollandsworth) (Netflix)
• Inside Out 2 (Walt Disney/Pixar)
  Meg LeFauve, Dave Holstein, Kelsey Mann (based on characters from the film “Inside Out”)
• Nosferatu — Robert Eggers (based on “Nosferatu – Eine Symphonie des Grauens” by Wilhelm Murnau and “Dracula” by Bram Stoker) (Focus Features)
• Queer — Justin Kuritzkes (based on the novel by William S. Burroughs) (A24)
• The Wild Robot — Chris Sanders (based on the series by Peter Brown) (Universal Pictures, Dreamworks Animation)

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Next up: 

• Blitz — Steve McQueen (Apple Original Films)
• Dìdi — Sean Wang (Focus Features)
• His Three Daughters — Azazel Jacobs (Netflix) – Gotham
• Kneecap — Rich Peppiatt, Liam Óg Ó Hannaidh, Naoise Ó Cairealláin, JJ Ó Dochartaigh (Sony Pictures Classics) – BIFA
• Saturday Night — Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman (Sony Pictures)

Other contenders: 

• The Apprentice — Gabriel Sherman (Briarcliff Entertainment)
• Better Man — Michael Gracey, Oliver Cole, Simon Gleeson (Paramount Pictures)
• Civil War — Alex Garland (A24)
• A Different Man — Aaron Schimberg (A24)
• I Saw the TV Glow — Jane Schoenbrun (A24)
• Juror #2 — Jonathan A. Abrams (Warner Bros)
• Love Lies Bleeding — Rose Glass, Weronika Tofilska (A24) – BIFA
• Maria — Steven Knight (Netflix)
• My Old Ass — Megan Park (Amazon MGM)
• Thelma — Josh Margolin (Magnolia Pictures)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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