2025 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (September)

Pearce appears. Norton rises. Magaro surprises. Washington stays king.

Here are my 2025 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actor for September.

1. Denzel Washington – Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures)
2. Kieran Culkin – A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures)
3. Clarence Maclin – Sing Sing (A24)
4. Guy Pearce – The Brutalist (A24)
5. Stanley Tucci – Conclave (Focus Features)
6. Edward Norton – A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures)
7. Samuel L. Jackson – The Piano Lesson (Netflix)
8. John Magaro – September 5 (Paramount Pictures)
9. John Lithgow – Conclave (Focus Features)
10. Drew Starkey – Queer (A24)

Next up: Yury Borisov – Anora (NEON), Austin Butler – Dune Part II (Warner Bros), Harris Dickinson – Babygirl (A24), Harris Dickinson – Blitz (Apple Original Films), Mark Eydelshteyn – Anora (NEON), Mike Faist – Challengers (Amazon MGM), Stephen Graham – Blitz (Apple Original Films), Mark Hamill – The Life of Chuck (TBA), Fred Hechinger – Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures), Brian Tyree Henry – The Fire Inside (Amazon MGM), Cooper Hoffman – Saturday Night (Sony Pictures), Adam Pearson – A Different Man (A24), Josh O’Connor – Challengers (Amazon MGM), Joseph Quinn – Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures), Jeremy Strong – The Apprentice (Briarcliff Entertainment), John Turturro – The Room Next Door (Sony Pictures Classics), Brandon Wilson – Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM)

Other contenders: Jonathan Bailey – Wicked Part I (Universal Pictures), Antonio Banderas – Babygirl (A24), Yuri Borisov – Anora (NEON), Nicholas Braun – Saturday Night (Sony Pictures), Willem Dafoe – Kinds of Kindness (Searchlight Pictures), Willem Dafoe – Saturday Night (Sony Pictures), Giancarlo Esposito – Megalopolis (Lionsgate), Tom Hardy – The Bikeriders (Focus Features), Chris Hemsworth – Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga (Warner Bros), Hamish Linklater – Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM), George MacKay – The End (NEON), Scoot McNairy – Nightbitch (Searchlight Pictures), Dylan O’Brien – Saturday Night (Sony Pictures), Jesse Plemons – Civil War (A24), Paul Raci – Sing Sing (A24), Cory Michael Smith – Saturday Night (Sony Pictures)

Lead or Supporting?: Mike Faist – Challengers (Amazon MGM), Tom Hiddleston – The Life of Chuck (TBA), Barry Keoghan – Bird (MUBI), Josh O’Connor – Challengers (Amazon MGM),  Jesse Plemons – Kinds of Kindness (Searchlight Pictures), Brandon Wilson – Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM)

2024 or 2025?: Demián Bichir – Without Blood (Fremantle), Anders Danielsen Lie – The Summer Book (TBA), Mark Hamill – The Life of Chuck (TBA), Tom Hiddleston – The Life of Chuck (TBA)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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