2026 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (November)
Who hit the red carpet of last weekend’s Governors Awards? Jonathan Bailey, Benicio del Toro, Jacob Elordi, William H. Macy, Josh O’Connor, Adam Sandler, Alexander Skarsgård, Stellan Skarsgård and Jeremy Strong.
Missing were Miles Caton, Delroy Lindo, Paul Mescal, Sean Penn,. Andrew Scott and more. But five fellas grabbed Gotham noms earlier this month and they are: Stellan Skarsgård, Jacob Elordi and Andrew Scott.
Here are my 2026 Oscar nomination predictions in Supporting Actor for November.
| 1. Sean Penn – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros) ↑ | |
| 2. Paul Mescal – Hamnet (Focus Features) ↓ | |
| 3. Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value (NEON) | Gotham |
| 4. Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another (Warner Bros) ↑ | Gotham |
| 5. Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein (Netflix) ↑ | Gotham |
| 6. Josh O’Connor – Wake Up Dead Man (Netflix) ↓ | |
| 7. Adam Sandler – Jay Kelly (Netflix) | |
| 8. Miles Caton – Sinners (Warner Bros) ↓ | |
| 9. Delroy Lindo – Sinners (Warner Bros) ↓ | |
| 10. Andrew Scott – Blue Moon (Sony Pictures Classics) ↑ | Berlin Supporting Performance, Gotham |
| 11. William H. Macy – Train Dreams (Netflix) | |
| 12. Michael Shannon – Nuremberg (Sony Pictures Classics) ↑ | |
| 13. Jacobi Jupe – Hamnet (Focus Features) ↓ | |
| 14. Jeremy Strong – Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century Studios) ↓ | |
| 15. Alexander Skarsgård – Pillion (A24) ↑ | Gotham |
| 16. Lewis Pullman – The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight Pictures) | |
| 17. Jack O’Connell – Sinners (Warner Bros) | |
| 18. Dylan O’Brien – Twinless (Roadside Attractions) | Sundance Performance |
| 19. Jonathan Bailey – Wicked For Good (Universal Pictures) ↓ | |
| 20. Stephen Graham – Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century Studios) |
Next up: Sean Bean – Anemone (Focus Features) ↓, Bradley Cooper – Is This Thing On? (Searchlight Pictures), Idris Elba – A House of Dynamite (Netflix), Akira Emoto – Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures), Ben Foster – Christy (Black Bear) ↓, Andrew Garfield – After the Hunt (Amazon MGM), Mark Hamill – The Life of Chuck (NEON), Conan O’Brien – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24), Josh O’Connor – The History of Sound (MUBI), Ethan Slater — Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures), Leo Woodall – Nuremberg (Sony Pictures Classics), Jeffrey Wright – Highest 2 Lowest (Apple Original Films/A24)
Other contenders: Christopher Abbott – The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight Pictures), A$AP Rocky – Highest 2 Lowest (Apple Original Films/A24), Adam Driver – Father, Mother, Sister, Brother (MUBI), Stavros Halkias – Bugonia (Focus Features), Woody Harrelson – Ella McCay (20th Century Studios), Tom Hiddleston – The Life of Chuck (NEON), Takehiro Hira – Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures), Robert Pattinson – Die My Love (MUBI), Matt Smith – Caught Stealing (A24), Michael Stuhlbarg – After the Hunt (Amazon MGM), Christoph Waltz – Frankenstein (Netflix)
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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