FINAL 2022 Oscar Predictions: VISUAL EFFECTS

There would have to be a rift in the time-space continuum for Dune to lose the Visual Effects Oscar.
Not only is it a gargantuan achievement in the craft, it’s the sole Best Picture nominee of the group and that statistic – a non-BP nominee beating out one or more Best Picture-nominated films – has only been broken once since 1970, when 2015’s Ex Machina shocked and won here over both The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road. But there is no Ex Machina here so the double hit of that stat and Dune‘s VFX dominance at Critics’ Choice, BAFTA and the Visual Effects Society make it one of the biggest locks of Oscar night.
Here are my ranked final Oscar predictions in Visual Effects.
- Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, VES (4x)
Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer - Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) – CCA, Annie, VES (4x)
Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver - Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony Pictures/Marvel Studios) – VES
Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick - Free Guy (20th Century Studios) – BAFTA
Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick - No Time to Die (MGM/UAR) – BAFTA, VES
Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould

- St. Louis Film Critics Association (StLFCA) Awards: ‘One Battle After Another’ Dominates - December 14, 2025
- San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) Awards: ‘One Battle After Another,’ ‘Sinners’ Share Most Wins - December 14, 2025
- Boston Society of Film Critics (BSFC) Awards: ‘Sinners’ Tops for Best Film, Director - December 14, 2025

St. Louis Film Critics Association (StLFCA) Awards: ‘One Battle After Another’ Dominates
San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) Awards: ‘One Battle After Another,’ ‘Sinners’ Share Most Wins
Boston Society of Film Critics (BSFC) Awards: ‘Sinners’ Tops for Best Film, Director
Producers Guild Awards Nominations for Sports, Children’s and Short-Form Programs