FINAL Golden Globe Nomination Predictions: Will Get Out Get In?
The Golden Globes are the first major televised awards show of the season and it all starts right here, with the nominations. Every year the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) must fend off jabs that the 90+ organization of foreign journalists (representing 55 countries) is nothing less than having a chance to hob-knob with stars but in the recent past they seem to be making an effort to legitimize themselves after debacles that have made them a laughingstock.
This year will be an interesting one for them as they do have one semi-controversy to manage and that’s the placement of Get Out in Comedy/Musical. When it was announced there was a predictable uproar on Twitter over it but it could have been exactly the boost and image the movie needed. The movie came out last February and now must compete in a heavy rotation of awards films and any amount of publicity is a good thing, right? Two things could happen with it on Monday morning; it maxes out its nominations potential (Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actor, maybe Supporting Actress) or it gets cruelly snubbed. Either way is going to create chatter that will only help the film. I’ve seen some predictions with both scenarios playing out so it will be fascinating to see where the film land.
This is also going to be a put up or shut up moment for films like Dunkirk and Darkest Hour. With the critics’ season already underway, both films (and its stars) have underperformed significantly. Gary Oldman (DH) and Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) just earned their first awards today after the majors have already announced. Darkest Hour has an extra obstacle to overcome and that’s the film’s star, Gary Oldman. Oldman has been very vocal in his distaste for the Golden Globes, calling then “bent” and that a “‘sympathy win’ or someone will get something for their body of work rather than that role.” A bit ironic as he is now in that position. Would the HFPA snub him for that? Nah, that would be highly unlikely but boy, would it be the story of the day. He’ll get nominated but the real test will be if he can win.
Another big question hanging over the Globes is what to do with Ridley Scott’s All the Money in the World. As we all know, the film was locked and ready for screening and closing AFI Fest and then the Kevin Spacey sexual assault allegations put the brakes on that. Scott announced he would be cutting Spacey out of the film completely and replacing him with his original choice, Christopher Plummer. At an enormous cost and with break-neck speed, Scott was able to get his reshoots done and show a rough cut to the HFPA by their December 4th deadline. But, is it enough or too little too late? Plummer, as oil tycoon J. Paul Getty, could score a Supporting Actor nomination but who would he replace? It’s a tough call.
Last year’s big winners here were La La Land, which won a record-setting seven Golden Globe awards. That may have been the beginning of the ‘too much is too much’ feeling for that film. Moonlight also won the top Drama award on its way to its auspicious Best Picture Oscar win.
The nominations for the 75th Golden Globes will be announced on December 11, 2017 by Alfre Woodard, Garrett Hedlund, Kristen Bell, and Sharon Stone. Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson’s daughter, Simone Garcia Johnson, is this year’s Golden Globe Ambassador.
Here are my final predictions and my November 16 ones for comparison.
Motion Picture – Drama
Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
In the running: Darkest Hour, The Florida Project, Mudbound, Phantom Thread
Actor – Motion Picture, Drama
Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
Tom Hanks – The Post
Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
In the running: Christian Bale – Hostiles, Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool, Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq
Actress – Motion Picture, Drama
Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water
Diane Kruger – In the Fade
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Meryl Streep – The Post
In the running: Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool, Salma Hayek – Beatriz at Dinner, Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread
Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
The Big Sick
The Disaster Artist
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
In the running: Battle of the Sexes, Beauty and the Beast, Downsizing, The Greatest Showman, Victoria and Abdul
Actor – Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical
Matt Damon – Downsizing
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Kumail Nanjiani – The Big Sick
In the running: Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes, Tom Cruise – American Made, Eugenio Derbez – How to Be a Latin Lover
Actress – Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical
Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes
Emma Watson – Beauty and the Beast
In the running: Zoe Kazan – The Big Sick, Allison Williams – Get Out, Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman
Directing
Guillermo del Toro – The Shape of Water
Luca Guadagnino – Call Me by Your Name
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Jordan Peele – Get Out
Steven Spielberg – The Post
In the running: Greta Gerwig – Lady Bird, Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Dee Rees, Mudbound
Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Armie Hammer – Call Me by Your Name
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water
Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me by Your Name
In the running: Christopher Plummer – All the Money in the World, Idris Elba – Molly’s Game, Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water, Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour
Supporting Actress
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water
In the running: Hong Chau – Downsizing, Tiffany Haddish – Girls Trip, Catherine Keener – Get Out, Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread, Tatiana Maslany – Stronger
Screenplay
Call Me by Your Name
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
In the running: The Disaster Artist, Molly’s Game, Phantom Thread, The Post
Original Score
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Post
The Shape of Water
In the running: Blade Runner 2049, Coco, Downsizing
Original Song
“Evermore” – Beauty and the Beast
“Mystery of Love” – Call Me By Your Name
“Remember Me” – Coco
“I Don’t Wanna Live Forever” – Fifty Shades Darker
“This Is Me” – The Greatest Showman
In the running: “If I Dare” – Battle of the Sexes, “Prayers for this World,” Cries from Syria, “The Star,” The Star
Animated Film
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Cars 3
Coco
The Lego Batman Movie
In the running: Despicable Me 3, Ferdinand, Loving Vincent
Foreign Language Film
BPM (France)
First They Killed My Father (Cambodia/USA)
Foxtrot (Israel)
In the Fade (Germany)
Loveless (Russia)
In the running: A Fantastic Woman (Chile), The Square (Sweden), Thelma (Norway)
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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