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Home / Podcasts / Oscars / Oscar Podcast #50: Post-BAFTA Bumps, Guild Talk and Near Final Oscar Predictions

Oscar Podcast #50: Post-BAFTA Bumps, Guild Talk and Near Final Oscar Predictions

In our 50th Oscar podcast, I am joined by Gold Rush Gang member Bryan Bonafede.

With BAFTA behind us, Bryan and I dig deep into that Dev Patel win and how much it and Lion’s recent surge will impact the Oscar race. We also cover most of the tech categories, their history and correlation with Oscar and where BAFTA might have convinced us to change our Oscar rankings. La La Land lost Costumes, Production Design, Film Editing, and Sound so we look closely at the films that won these, compare them with recent guild announcements from the Art Directors and ACE Eddies as well as upcoming ones like Costume Designers and both Sound guilds.

The battle for Best Actor is next and it’s a battle between the overwhelming critics’ winner Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea) and two-time Oscar winner Denzel Washington (Fences). Between personality, awards history and checkered pasts, this is a category ripe for surprise and we detail the reasons we’ve chosen who we’ve predicted to win.

We also look at the Visual Effects category where, while we both agree that The Jungle Book is the undisputed frontrunner, we each make a case for a possible spoiler in Deepwater Horizon and Kubo and the Two Strings.

With the Writers Guild of America this weekend we look at how, or if, the winners there will have much impact on possible Oscar results since category placement and eligibility between the two bodies don’t match up very well. That said, Bryan and I both agree that at WGA the race for Original is between La La Land and Manchester by the Sea (where Moonlight is nominated) while the Adapted category (where Moonlight is Oscar-nominated) looks like a fight between Arrival and Hidden Figures. WGA predictions will be up tomorrow.

Don’t fret, we end with talking about Best Actress and just how far ahead Emma Stone and if a chance for an Isabelle Huppert spoiler is in the cards.

This podcast runs 1h 36m.

Intro music: ‘Going Green’
Outro Music: ‘New York City’ By Day by Thomas Newman from the Desperately Seeking Susan soundtrack

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About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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  • Tastes like candy

    You’re certainly welcome to your opinion Eric but calling Kubo the better film is a fallacy! Kubo was an ambitious film that had some big and deep ideas, and it’s visually stunning so I’ll commend the filmmakers for boldly going to that direction. Unfortunately, the script and storytelling doesn’t reach the emotional heights to complement its visuals and become down right boring through half of the film! And this is where Zootopia does shine! It’s a fact that a good film can not be judged on visuals alone! And Zootopia’s screenplay has more than once been credited as outstanding by several highly respected professionals in this field. If you weren’t an obvious fan you’d likely see this yourself. Likewise I’m not going to feel very sorry about this pretentious flop voiced by a white cast masquerading as Asians and the son of a billionaire who never had to work to get where he is today and is only a director because his father owns the company!

    • AwardsWatch

      Ok.

  • AwardsWatch

    Ok.