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2018 Oscar Predictions – SUPPORTING ACTOR (March)

Top: Michael Stuhlbarg, Michael Shannon, Steve Buscemi  Bottom: Jason Mitchell, Ben Mendelsohn
Top: Michael Stuhlbarg, Michael Shannon, Steve Buscemi
Bottom: Jason Mitchell, Ben Mendelsohn

This year’s batch of Supporting Actor hopefuls is rich with to the possibility of a lot of first-time nominees. Right now, our top 10 predictions have eight potential newcomers to Oscar.

At the top is Michael Stuhlbarg in Call Me By Your Name. The enormously prolific character actor plays the father of a 17-year old son who begins a torrid summer affair with the family’s 24-year old male boarder (played by Armie Hammer, another Supporting Actor contender) in Italy and his closing speech in the film is the stuff of Oscar.

Michael Shannon, a two-time Oscar nominee, is close by with The Current War where he plays George Westinghouse to Benedict Cumberbatch’s Thomas Edison. Shannon could be a co-lead but the smart play is to put him in supporting. Not only is it where Shannon has earned his two Oscar nominations, there haven’t been two Best Actor nominees from the same film since 1984’s Amadeus.

Steve Buscemi could earn his first Oscar nomination from A24’s Lean on Me, especially if it becomes the Oscar-winning studio’s #1 push. Jason Mitchell, who broke through with Straight Outta Compton two years ago, could be in for another breakthrough – an Oscar nomination – for Mudbound. Emmy-winner and Rogue One star Ben Mendelsohn also looks strong for Darkest Hour.

Below that is a wide swath of supporting actor potential from Oscar winner Javier Bardem in mother!, Emmy winner Sterling K. Brown in Marshall, John Boyega and Anthony Mackie in Kathryn Bigelow’s Untitled Detroit Riots Project and Idris Elba in Molly’s Game.

Here are the first Best Supporting Actor predictions of the 2018 Oscar season from the new Gold Rush Gang:

 

SUPPORTING ACTOR
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 7 1 1 92
2 Michael Shannon – The Current War 3 2 2 2 3 1 2 3 2 4 86
3 Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete 6 3 5 3 4 3 6 1 6 6 67
4 Jason Mitchell – Mudbound 2 4 4 10 4 4 5 3 7 56
4 Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour 10 7 3 5 4 5 3 2 7 8 56
6 Idris Elba – Molly’s Game 4 5 6 10 7 7 8 4 5 43
7 Colin Farrell – Inner City (possibly 2018) 4 10 6 4 2 29
8 Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri 6 10 6 5 10 9 3 28
9 Javier Bardem – mother! 8 7 7 7 10 8 10 20
10 Sterling K. Brown – Marshall 8 8 8 9 8 9 16
11 John Boyega – Unititled Kathryn Bigelow Detriot Riots Project 5 9 9 8 13
12 Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle 7 5 10
13 Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene 8 5 9
14 Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name 9 6 10 8
15 Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound 6 5
15 Anthony Mackie – Unititled Kathryn Bigelow Detriot Riots Project 9 10 9 5
17 Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying 9 9 4
18 Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene
Christoph Waltz – Downsizing
Daniel Brühl – Entebbe
Domhnall Gleeson – mother!
Ed Harris – mother!
John Hurt – Darkest Hour
Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game
Mark Rylance – Dunkirk
Oscar Isaac – Annihilation
Oscar Isaac – The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara
Stanley Tucci – The Children Act

 

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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