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2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (April)

Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore still #1; Melissa Leo, Hong Chau, Kristin Scott Thomas, Michelle Pfeiffer give chase
Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore still #1; Melissa Leo, Hong Chau, Kristin Scott Thomas, Michelle Pfeiffer give chase

As with Supporting Actor this month, Supporting Actress is the same top 5 as last month with just a few tweaks in placement.

Julianne Moore not only remains at #1 with Wonderstruck, she improves her point total. Snippets of the film were shown at CinemaCon last month to strong word of mouth and Moore playing multiple characters will only help keep her at the top spot.

Melissa Leo (Novitiate) stays at #2 but with fewer points as her main competitors down the list have started chipping away at her placement. Those competitors, Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour) find themselves tied at #3 but with Chau making the biggest move.

LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world

Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!) is safe at #5 this month, nearly double the #6 Claire Foy (Breathe), who actually makes a huge jump from #16.. Just behind Foy is Mary J. Blige (Mudbound), in her first feature in four years. Rachel McAdams (Disobedience) trails not too far behind.

Looking for surprise contenders or sleepers we could see Kaela Settle in The Greatest Showman. She has a show-stopping number in the original musical and 20th Century Fox is going to pull out all the stops for the Christmas Day release. Nicole Kidman is having a banner year, having just ended her limited series Big Little Lies to some of the best reviews of her career. She will follow that with possible Cannes Film Festival appearances of Sofia Coppola’s The Beguiled, John Cameron Mitchell’s How to Talk to Girls at Parties and/or Yorgos Lanthimos’s The Killing of a Sacred Deer.

This time last year, the Gold Rush Gang had four of the five eventual Oscar nominees in our top 10 with only Viola Davis missing due to her category placement being up in the air at the time.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for April from the Gold Rush Gang.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
GREG HOWARD
EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
MATT DINN
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 2 2 1 96
2 Melissa Leo – Novitiate 2 3 2 2 1 2 3 6 1 2 86
3 Hong Chau – Downsizing 4 2 5 4 2 4 2 4 7 3 73
3 Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour 3 7 3 5 4 3 4 1 3 4 73
5 Michelle Pfeiffer – mother! 6 6 7 3 5 7 5 3 4 5 59
6 Claire Foy – Breathe 4 6 6 6 5 9 30
7 Mary J. Blige – Mudbound 5 8 7 10 7 9 5 8 29
8 Rachel McAdams – Disobedience 7 10 6 8 9 9 10 7 9 10 25
9 Katherine Waterston – The Current War 4 7 8 8 8 10 21
10 Vicky Krieps – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project 5 9 6 13
10 Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman 8 10 9 9 6 13
12 Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete 9 5 8 11
13 Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake 8 7 7
14 Julianne Moore – Suburbicon 6 5
15 Allison Janney – I, Tonya (likely 2018) 9 10 3
15 Holly Hunter – The Big Sick 8 3
17 Mackenzie Davis – Tully 10 1
17 Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman 10 1
17 Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Aja Naomi King – Untouchable
Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
Charlotte Rampling – Red Sparrow
Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel
Kristen Wiig – Downsizing
Lesley Manville – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
Margot Robbie – Untitled A.A. Milne Biopic
Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle
Nicole Kidman – How to Talk to Girls at Parties
Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Nicole Kidman – Untouchable
Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water
Rachel Weisz – Disobedience
Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman
Rosamund Pike – Entebbe
Tatiana Maslany – Stronger
Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool

 

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

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2018-oscar-predictions-supporting-actress-april-moore-leo-chau-scott-thomas-pfeiffer

Supporting Actress: Julianne Moore still #1; Melissa Leo, Hong Chau, Kristin Scott Thomas, Michelle Pfeiffer give chase

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.