2017 Oscar Nomination Predictions: One Week Out

Erik Anderson January 17, 2017

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The nominations for the 89th Academy Awards are just one week away and I’m getting very close to a final set of predictions. There really isn’t much happening between now and then in terms of guilds or new awards nominations and voting has been closed for four days now so it’s as good a time as any to unleash them. After all, we now have Golden Globe winners plus BAFTA, PGA and DGA nominations out.

There are still a lot of questions that only January 24th will answer. How solid are Fences and Hidden Figures? Will La La Land push to 14 nominations? Will the steak-eaters of the Academy jam Best Picture full of Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water and Sully over more diverse fare? And what about Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Emily Blunt? Is he a Golden Globe and BAFTA fluke or is one of the SAG five supporting actors in danger? Will her SAG and BAFTA nods knock out a major contender?

Here are my (alphabetical) predictions in all 24 categories as today, January 17th, 2017.

Best Picture

Arrival
Fences
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Lion
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals

Best Directing

Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Garth Davis, Lion
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Amy Adams, Arrival
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
Dev Patel, Lion
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Viola Davis, Fences
Naomie Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Best Writing (Original Screenplay)

Captain Fantastic
Hell or High Water
La La Land
The Lobster
Manchester by the Sea

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

Arrival
Fences
Hidden Figures
Lion
Moonlight

Best Animated Feature

Kubo and the Two Strings
Moana
The Red Turtle
Sing
Zootopia

Best Foreign Language Film

Land of Mine
A Man Called Ove
Paradise
The Salesman
Toni Erdmann

Best Documentary Feature

Cameraperson
The Eagle Huntress
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America

Best Music (Original Score)

The BFG
Kubo and the Two Strings
La La Land
Lion
Moonlight

Best Music (Original Song)

Runnin,’ Hidden Figures
Audition, La La Land
City of Stars, La La Land
How Far I’ll Go, Moana
Faith, Sing

Best Film Editing

Arrival
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea
Moonlight

Best Cinematography

Arrival
La La Land
Moonlight
Nocturnal Animals
Silence

Best Art Direction

Arrival
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Silence

Best Costume Design

The Dressmaker
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Florence Foster Jenkins
Jackie
La La Land

Best Makeup

Deadpool
Florence Foster Jenkins
A Man Called Ove

Best Sound Mixing

Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Sound Editing

Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Visual Effects

Arrival
Deepwater Horizon
Doctor Strange
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Documentary (Short Subject)

4.1 Miles
Extremis
Joe’s Violin
Watani: My Homeland
The White Helmets

Best Short Film (Animated)

Blind Vaysha
Borrowed Time
The Head Vanishes
Inner Workings
Piper

Best Short Film (Live Action)

Bon Voyage
Graffiti
The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf and the Boy
Timecode
The Way of the Tea (Les Frémissements du Thé)

To check out the current slate of Gold Rush Gang predictions click on any of the links below.

BEST PICTURE
BEST DIRECTOR
BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BEST FILM EDITING
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
BEST SOUND EDITING
BEST SOUND MIXING
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Author
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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.