2017 Oscar Predictions – February 10th

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The BAFTAs are this weekend with an update to follow. Click here for updated 2017 Oscar winner predictions from The Gold Rush Gang in all categories. Here is the state of the Oscar race right now, February 10th, 2017.

BEST PICTURE
ERIK ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
2 Moonlight 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 90
3 Manchester By the Sea 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 80
4 Lion 6 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 6 5 62
5 Arrival 4 6 4 6 4 5 6 5 5 4 61
6 Hidden Figures 5 4 7 5 8 7 5 7 7 8 47
7 Hacksaw Ridge 7 7 6 7 6 6 7 8 4 6 46
8 Hell or High Water 9 8 8 9 7 8 8 6 8 7 32
9 Fences 8 9 9 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 22

DIRECTING
ERIK ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Damien Chazelle, La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Barry Jenkins, Moonlight 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 39
3 Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester By the Sea 4 5 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 27
4 Denis Villeneuve, Arrival 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 23
5 Mel Gibson, Hacksaw Ridge 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 11

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Casey Affleck, Manchester By the Sea 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 48
2 Denzel Washington, Fences 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 42
3 Ryan Gosling, La La Land 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 30
4 Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge 4 5 4 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 16
5 Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic 5 4 5 4 5 5 4 4 5 5 14

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Emma Stone, La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Isabelle Huppert, Elle 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 35
2 Natalie Portman, Jackie 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 35
4 Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20
5 Ruth Negga, Loving 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Mahershala Ali, Moonlight 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 37
3 Dev Patel, Lion 2 2 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 3 32
4 Lucas Hedges, Manchester By the Sea 4 5 4 4 3 4 5 4 5 4 18
5 Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 13

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Viola Davis, Fences 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Michelle Williams, Manchester By the Sea 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 40
3 Naomie Harris, Moonlight 5 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 24
3 Nicole Kidman, Lion 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 24
5 Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 12

WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Moonlight 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Arrival 2 2 2 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 38
3 Lion 4 4 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 28
4 Hidden Figures 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 24
5 Fences 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Manchester By the Sea 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 40
3 Hell or High Water 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 29
4 The Lobster 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 5 4 4 18
5 20th Century Women 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 5 13

FILM EDITING
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Moonlight 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 37
3 Arrival 2 2 3 3 3 4 2 4 3 4 30
4 Hacksaw Ridge 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 3 23
5 Hell or High Water 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

CINEMATOGRAPHY
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Moonlight 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 37
3 Lion 4 3 5 2 4 2 3 3 3 3 28
4 Arrival 2 4 3 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 23
5 Silence 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 12

PRODUCTION DESIGN
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Arrival 3 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 35
2 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 35
4 Hail, Caesar! 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 18
5 Passengers 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 12

COSTUME DESIGN
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Jackie 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 45
2 La La Land 1 1 2 3 1 3 2 1 2 2 42
3 Florence Foster Jenkins 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 33
4 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 19
5 Allied 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 11

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Star Trek Beyond 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 A Man Called Ove 2 3 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 35
2 Suicide Squad 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 35

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Lion 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 37
3 Moonlight 3 2 2 3 4 4 3 4 3 4 28
4 Jackie 4 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 4 3 25
5 Passengers 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 “City Of Stars,” La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 “How Far I’ll Go,” Moana 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 36
3 “Audition,” La La Land 3 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 34
4 “Can’t Stop The Feeling!” Trolls 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20
5 “The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

SOUND EDITING
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Hacksaw Ridge 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 48
2 Arrival 1 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 2 2 38
3 La La Land 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 4 3 3 32
4 Deepwater Horizon 4 5 4 4 5 4 5 2 5 4 18
5 Sully 5 4 5 5 4 5 4 5 4 5 14

SOUND MIXING
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 La La Land 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Hacksaw Ridge 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 37
3 Arrival 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 32
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 21
5 13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

VISUAL EFFECTS
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 The Jungle Book 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 4 2 4 2 2 2 5 3 3 2 31
3 Doctor Strange 5 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 3 29
4 Deepwater Horizon 2 5 2 3 4 3 3 4 5 4 25
5 Kubo and the Two Strings 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 5 15

ANIMATED FEATURE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Zootopia 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 50
2 Kubo and the Two Strings 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 39
3 Moana 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 31
4 My Life as a Zucchini 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 20
5 The Red Turtle 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 OJ: Made In America 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 49
2 13TH 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 1 2 39
3 I Am Not Your Negro 3 3 3 3 4 2 2 3 4 3 30
4 Life, Animated 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 20
5 Fire At Sea 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 12

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Toni Erdmann (Germany) 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 1 44
2 The Salesman (Iran) 1 1 4 1 3 4 1 3 1 3 38
3 Land Of Mine (Denmark) 3 4 2 3 4 2 3 2 3 2 32
4 A Man Called Ove (Sweden) 4 3 3 4 1 3 4 4 4 4 26
5 Tanna (Australia) 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10

SHORTS (DOCUMENTARY)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 The White Helmets 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 39
2 Joe’s Violin 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 1 32
3 4.1 Miles 3 3 4 4 3 4 3 3 21
4 Watani: My Homeland 4 5 3 3 5 2 5 5 16
5 Extremis 5 4 5 5 4 5 4 4 12

SHORTS (ANIMATED)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Piper 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 39
2 Pearl 1 2 2 2 4 3 2 4 28
3 Blind Vaysha 3 3 3 4 3 2 3 2 25
4 Borrowed Time 4 4 4 3 2 5 4 3 19
5 Pear Cider & Cigarettes 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 9

SHORTS (LIVE ACTION)
ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN
BONAFEDE
CHRIS
PEPPER
EVAN
KOST
JAMES
NARVEY
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
JÚLIA
ALBUQUERQUE
MONIKA
NIKOLIĆ
RICHARD
ANTHONY
ROBERT
SCHIRMER
TOTAL
POINTS
1 Timecode 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 32
2 Sing 5 3 2 2 2 2 1 25
3 Silent Nights 1 1 4 3 4 3 4 22
4 Ennemis Interiors 3 5 3 4 3 4 3 17
5 La Femme et le TGV 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 9
Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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