2017 Oscar Predictions: BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS (October)

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Michelle Williams (Manchester by the Sea) and Naomie Harris (Moonlight) still hold onto the #1 and #3 spots but look at Nicole Kidman in Lion. Not only does she volley from #5 to #3 this month, she more than doubles her points. Her reviews from the Toronto International Film Festival, where the film debuted, were very good and her return to the Oscar race now seems imminent. This pushes down Kristen Stewart (Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk) considerably – she loses half of her point total but fear not, disciples of Kristenianity™, she remains securely in the top 5.

Greta Gerwig (20th Century Women) moves up and Amy Adams (Nocturnal Animals) moves down. It should be noted that these predictions came before the official announcement that Focus Features will be pushing Adams in Lead and not Supporting so she will not appear here next month. But hey, Adams’ loss could end up being Laura Linney’s gain; her 2-minute cameo in the film has earned huge buzz and if anyone knows about surprise Oscar nominations it’s Linney. Janelle Monáe (Hidden Figures) joins the list for the first time.

Elsewhere you’ll see I’ve added Annette Bening (20th Century Women) and Viola Davis (Fences) to the Other Contenders list. Those pesky supporting rumors that are dogging Davis are now finding their way to Bening. Everything is unofficial at this point so until A24 and Paramount announce where these ladies will be submitted (the SAG submission deadline is in just over two weeks so we’ll know then) I’ll put them in both categories.

Here are the 2017 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress from The Gold Rush Gang for October:

OTHER CONTENDERS
Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
Viola Davis – Fences
Laura Dern – The Founder
Dakota Fanning – American Pastoral
Elle Fanning – 20th Century Women
Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls
Aja Naomi King – The Birth of a Nation
Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals
Laura Linney – Sully
Rooney Mara – Lion
Helen Mirren – Collateral Beauty
Helen Mirren – Eye in the Sky
Julianne Moore – Maggie’s Plan
Katey Sagal – Bleed For This
Zoe Saldana – Live by Night
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans
Kate Winslet – Collateral Beauty

Follow the updated Gold Rush Gang predictions in these Oscar categories here:

BEST PICTURE
BEST DIRECTOR
BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BEST FILM EDITING
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
BEST SOUND EDITING
BEST SOUND MIXING
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM (the shortlist)